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STOCK COMPARISON

BHP Group vs Metal Hawk: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Metal Hawk (MHK) compare, as of Sep 14, 2026.

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.31 versus a fair value of £18.91 (-41%), while Metal Hawk trades at A$0.09 versus A$0.01 (-84%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£32.31
Fair Value£18.91
Quality64/100
Metal Hawk
MHK.AU · AUD · Materials
-84%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$0.09
Fair ValueA$0.01
Quality35/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BHP GroupMetal Hawk
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)15.0×
3.85×P/S (TTM)4.39×
4.50×P/B2.10×
8.2×EV/EBITDA1.5×
−41.5%Fair value upside−83.8%
4.0%Dividend yield1.3%
£1.33Dividend per share
Profitability
41%Operating margin-41%
1.19×EBIT margin trend (5Y)
25%Return on equity15%
12%Return on assets-20%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)22%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.1%Value creation/yr
Balance & size
10.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)
0.44×Debt / equity
$208BMarket cap$13M
weakGrowth qualityweak

BHP Group leads: 5 to 3 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 75 Metal Hawkof which business quality 35 · market factors 30
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
0
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
25
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
0
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
100
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
100
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
69
26
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
69
40
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
93
17
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
81
0

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyBHP GroupPrice £32.31Metal HawkPrice A$0.09
DCF Models-16%below the price£27.19n/a
Earnings-Based-22%below the price£25.15n/a
Dividend Discount-39%below the price£19.67-89%below the priceA$0.01
Multiples-11%close to the price£28.74n/a
Asset-Based-81%below the price£6.10-67%below the priceA$0.03
Growth DCF-30%below the price£22.49n/a
Economic Profit-36%below the price£20.84n/a
Growth Earnings-21%below the price£25.38n/a
Minimum-81%below the price£6.10-89%below the priceA$0.01
Maximum-11%close to the price£28.74-67%below the priceA$0.03
Median-26%below the price£23.82-78%below the priceA$0.02
Geometric mean-37%below the price£20.23-81%below the priceA$0.02

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

BHP Group: 21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Metal Hawk: 3 of 3 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

BHP Group
Price £32.31
Fair Value £18.91
Bear £12.95Bull £26.55

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Metal Hawk · Materials

Quality score35 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-84% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £32.31 versus a fair value of £18.91 (-41%), while Metal Hawk trades at A$0.09 versus A$0.01 (-84%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.