Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd stock HK$0.48, price HK$2.85, upside -83.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.15 – HK$6.73 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$0.5300 · the HK$2.85 price screens above the HK$0.4800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Nanjing Panda Electronics Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the smart transportation and safe city, industrial internet and intelligent manufacturing, and green and service-oriented electronic manufacturing businesses in China.
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It provides industrial automation equipment, sheet metal processing; railway transportation system integration; SMT processing, injection molding business, military civilian integration communication products; electronic industry; and property leasing.
The company also engages in the development and production of fully automatic washing machines and related components. Nanjing Panda Electronics Company Limited was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) currently trades at HK$2.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4800, 83.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$3.64 per share, and 2 of the 19 models we run sit above the HK$2.85 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at HK$0.2900, and 17 of the 19 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.4300 (bear) to HK$0.5300 (bull), the price of HK$2.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was 10.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −29.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$2.6B (≈ $331M) Small · P/E ratio 69.9 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0381 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −83%, 0553 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0400 to HK$23.48). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
BearHK$0.4300Fair Value HK$0.4800BullHK$0.5300
Price HK$2.85 · Upside -83.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0218 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−32.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−33.0% vs −23.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.8% a year for the price.
Compare Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 639 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)5.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)69.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.71× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.84× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow201.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)85· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0553
Frequently asked questions
Is Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4800 versus a price of HK$2.85, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0553?
Our model-based fair value for Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is HK$0.4800 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.85.
What is the quality score of 0553?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4800 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4300, optimistic scenario HK$0.5300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4800, about −83% upside versus a price of HK$2.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4300, optimistic scenario HK$0.5300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -6.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.4 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0553 use?
Our models discount Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd that is -6.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd grew -9.4 % a year. The price currently implies -6.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (-6.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.41 %: that much free cash flow Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd it is HK$0.4800 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of HK$2.85. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 0553 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$2.85, fair value HK$0.4800, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0553?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4800). For Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd the two are HK$2.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd worth?
The market values Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd at about HK$2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.85; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0553?
Our models span a range for Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.4300, base HK$0.4800, optimistic HK$0.5300 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price HK$2.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0553?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.9 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.4800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 2.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0553 from its 52-week high?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd trades at HK$2.85, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$6.73 and 6% above the low of HK$2.70 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price HK$2.85, calculated fair value HK$0.4800 (−83%), Quality Score 53/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0553 calculated?
We run Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was HK$2.85. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4800, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The market capitalisation of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is HK$2.6B (≈ $331M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Earnings per share at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd are HK$0.0381 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 69.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The dividend yield of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 30.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The net margin of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is −1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
The operating margin of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Revenue at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd is growing +16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553)?
Earnings per share at Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd are growing −89.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd (0553) hold?
Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 973M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 28, 2026