1616 (1616) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · Market cap HK$129M

1 1616 1616 · HK

PriceHK$0.0600

Fair ValueHK$0.0300

Upside-50.0%

Quality57/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0300

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.0260 – HK$0.0600 · the HK$0.0600 price screens above the HK$0.0300 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1616 (1616) currently trades at HK$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0300 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$16.7M. Revenue declined 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.0%. Net debt stands at HK$76.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$16.7M

Revenue growth (YoY) -24.5%

Net margin -231%

Return on equity -21.0%

Free cash flow HK$1.2M FY2024

Operating margin -155%

More key figures

Net debt HK$76.2M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

1616 reported revenue of HK$16.7M in FY2024 versus HK$94.1M in FY2020, a compound −35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$38.6M in FY2024.

Revenue −35.1%/yr

FY20 HK$94.1M

FY21 HK$96.1M

FY22 HK$38.1M

FY23 HK$23.7M

FY24 HK$16.7M

Net income

FY20 −HK$282M

FY21 −HK$534M

FY22 −HK$224M

FY23 −HK$15.6M

FY24 −HK$38.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFC	€74.03	€35.48	-52%
NFLX NFLX	1,422 MXN	879.86 MXN	-38%
The Walt Disney Company DIS	C$11.30	C$10.79	-5%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD	$26.23	$4.82	-82%
Universal Music Group UMG	€19.55	€10.36	-47%
TKO Group TKO	$197.26	$48.15	-76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1616 (1616) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0300 versus a price of HK$0.0600 — about −50% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1616?

Our model-based fair value for 1616 is HK$0.0300 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0600.

What is the quality score of 1616?

1616 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1616 (1616)?

1616 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$16.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.