TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO · USWeakest SetupQuality growthStrongly overvalued and low quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.93 – $223.19 · fair‑value band $48.33 – $114.02 · the $189.26 price screens above the $81.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Company profile
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company. The company operates through three segments: UFC, WWE and IMG. The UFC segment distributes programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products.
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TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company. The company operates through three segments: UFC, WWE and IMG. The UFC segment distributes programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products. The WWE segment consists of media rights fees associated with the distribution of its programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of WWE-branded products. The IMG segment specializing in media rights management and sales, multi-channel content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management. This segment also offers hospitality business, offering ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production and travel management services. It is also involved in the merchandising of video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys. In addition, the company engages in the sponsorships and advertising business, which offers sale of in-venue and in-broadcast advertising assets, content product integration, and digital impressions. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in New York, New York. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc.
Stock analysis
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) currently trades at $189.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.18, implying the stock looks roughly 133.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $106.65 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $189.26 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.91, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $48.33 (bear) to $114.02 (bull), the price of $189.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was $195M in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $36.7B · P/E ratio 69.8 · P/S ratio 2.88 · EPS (TTM) $2.64 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −57%, TKO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
TKO screens 133% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Recent news
Compare TKO Group Holdings, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 261 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $77.90 | $85.69 | +10% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $104.97 | $80.62 | −23% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $28.03 | $10.00 | −64% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $170.24 | $54.61 | −68% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.82 | €16.30 | +10% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $95.36 | $104.90 | +10% |
| Fox Corporation FOXA | $66.16 | $206.81 | +213% |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $155.12 | $42.88 | −72% |
| News Corporation NWS | A$47.24 | A$28.63 | −39% |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $28.30 | $8.49 | −70% |
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Key figures of TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
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