TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TKO Group Holdings, Inc. stock $87.52, price $189, that is 53.7% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO · USOur calculation puts a fair price 54% below what the stock costs today.
Risks from the AI analysis
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.75 – $222.28 · fair‑value band $61.26 – $113.76 · the $189.14 price screens above the $87.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company.
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The company operates through three segments: UFC, WWE and IMG. The UFC segment distributes programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products.
The WWE segment consists of media rights fees associated with the distribution of its programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of WWE-branded products.
The IMG segment specializing in media rights management and sales, multi-channel content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, digital services, and event management.
This segment also offers hospitality business, offering ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production and travel management services. It is also involved in the merchandising of video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys.
In addition, the company engages in the sponsorships and advertising business, which offers sale of in-venue and in-broadcast advertising assets, content product integration, and digital impressions. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in New York, New York.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of WME Group, Inc.
Stock analysis
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) currently trades at $189.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $87.52, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $53.98 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $189.14 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $13.56, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $61.26 (bear) to $113.76 (bull), the price of $189.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was $195M in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $36.8B Large · P/E ratio 67.7 · P/S ratio 2.85 · EPS (TTM) $2.86 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −54%, TKO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors bought shares worth $5.5M, most recently on May 14, 2026. Over the same period, 4 people sold shares worth $26.7M. Buying cluster
- SaleNick KhanDirector14× since Dec 3, 2025: 178,578 shares, avg. $196.12$35.0MOct 15, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMark S ShapiroOfficer, Director3× since Jan 5, 2026: 65,505 shares, avg. $200.79$13.2MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleAriel EmanuelChief Executive Officer, Director24,702 shares at $194.39$4.8MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleAndrew M SchleimerChief Financial Officer3× since Jan 5, 2026: 27,659 shares, avg. $199.69$5.5MAug 18, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyJonathan KraftDirector5,200 shares at $189.96$987,797May 14, 2026
- BuyAndrew M SchleimerChief Financial Officer2,696 shares at $185.44$499,953May 13, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyMark S ShapiroOfficer, Director10,807 shares at $185.05$2.0MMay 13, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyAriel EmanuelChief Executive Officer, Director10,805 shares at $185.09$2.0MMay 13, 2026
- SaleShane KapralDeputy Chief Financial Officer17× since Nov 17, 2025: 10,496 shares, avg. $204.31$2.1MMar 9, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleSeth D KraussOfficer4× since Jan 2, 2026: 31,776 shares, avg. $203.02$6.5MJan 27, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
TKO screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Compare TKO Group Holdings, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 223 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- PEG ratio by industry
- Revenue growth by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius XM Holdings SIRI | $33.22 | $50.01 | +51% | vs TKO |
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $65.56 | $73.03 | +11% | vs TKO |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $59.99 | $65.92 | +10% | vs TKO |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €17.78 | €18.82 | +6% | vs TKO |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $106.52 | $108.82 | +2% | vs TKO |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $117.22 | $101.07 | −14% | vs TKO |
| News Corporation NWS | $28.97 | $17.05 | −41% | vs TKO |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $160.37 | $71.66 | −55% | vs TKO |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $31.92 | $10.61 | −67% | vs TKO |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $181.25 | $48.10 | −73% | vs TKO |
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Key figures of TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
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