1618 (1618) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$27.7B

1 1618 1618 · HK

PriceHK$1.38

Fair ValueHK$1.89

Upside+37.0%

Quality31/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$1.20 – HK$2.55

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −9.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$1.32 – HK$3.05 · fair‑value band HK$1.20 – HK$2.55 · the HK$1.38 price screens below the HK$1.89 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1618 (1618) currently trades at HK$1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.89 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1618 generated revenue of HK$405B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$405B

Revenue growth (YoY) -24.6%

Net margin 0.3%

Return on equity 4.3%

Free cash flow HK$9.0B FY2025

Operating margin 3.3%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0643

Net cash HK$11.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1618 reported revenue of HK$455B in FY2025 versus HK$501B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.3B in FY2025, compounding −41.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.3%/yr

FY21 HK$501B

FY22 HK$593B

FY23 HK$634B

FY24 HK$552B

FY25 HK$455B

Net income −41.9%/yr

FY21 HK$11.6B

FY22 HK$10.3B

FY23 HK$8.7B

FY24 HK$6.7B

FY25 HK$1.3B

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Similar stocks

6 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LTOD	$0.4110	$0.0100	-98%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260	520,000 KRW	268,469 KRW	-48%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668	¥4.65	¥17.35	+273%
TopBuild Corp BLD	7,547 MXN	324.01 MXN	-96%
000720 000720	130,300 KRW	55,602 KRW	-57%
United Integrated Services Co 2404	1,205 TWD	1,891 TWD	+57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1618 (1618) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.89 versus a price of HK$1.38 — about +37% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1618?

Our model-based fair value for 1618 is HK$1.89 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.38.

What is the quality score of 1618?

1618 has a Quality Score of 31/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1618 (1618)?

1618 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$405B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1618?

The net profit margin of 1618 is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.