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LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of LC Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.03, price HK$0.14, upside -74.8%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG4600C1024

LG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

LC Group Holdings Ltd

1683 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−74.8%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.1% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.9100 HK$0.0390 Fair Value HK$0.0340 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0390 – HK$0.9100 · the HK$0.1350 price screens above the HK$0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Hope Life International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction and ancillary services in Hong Kong, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments: Construction and Ancillary Services, and Consumer Goods Business.

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Hope Life International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction and ancillary services in Hong Kong, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments: Construction and Ancillary Services, and Consumer Goods Business. The Construction and Ancillary Services segment is involved in design, fitting out, decoration, alteration and addition, construction, and other related services. The Consumer Goods Business segment produces and sells yellow wine products to food wholesalers, supermarkets, and department stores under the Minyue Hong, Tan Shishan, and Xingyun Zhi Guang brand names. The company was formerly known as Royal China International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Hope Life International Holdings Limited in September 2019. Hope Life International Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683) currently trades at HK$0.1350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0340, 74.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1900 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.1350 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

LC Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$228M in FY2025 versus HK$247M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$308M (≈ $39.2M) · P/S ratio 1.35 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin −7.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$228M · Revenue growth (YoY) +63.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −75%, 1683 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0340 Fair Value HK$0.0340 Bull HK$0.0340
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 70
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 68
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 64
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.0500 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0500 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 51
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.4% (2020) → 0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1683 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 798 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 63.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.51 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LC Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1683

Frequently asked questions

Is LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0340 versus a price of HK$0.1350, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1683?
Our model-based fair value for LC Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0340 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1350.
What is the quality score of 1683?
LC Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0340 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LC Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0340, about −75% upside versus a price of HK$0.1350 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
LC Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$228M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LC Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0340 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1350. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LC Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1683 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1350, fair value HK$0.0340, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1683?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0340). For LC Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LC Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values LC Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$308M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1350; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0340 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
Balance-sheet figures for LC Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1683 from its 52-week high?
LC Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1350, about 79% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6500 and 16% above the low of HK$0.1160 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LC Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LC Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1350, calculated fair value HK$0.0340 (−75%), Quality Score 34/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1683 calculated?
We run LC Group Holdings Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. LC Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1350. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0340, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LC Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0340). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of LC Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The market capitalisation of LC Group Holdings Ltd is HK$308M (≈ $39.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LC Group Holdings Ltd is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The net margin of LC Group Holdings Ltd is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LC Group Holdings Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LC Group Holdings Ltd is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
The operating margin of LC Group Holdings Ltd is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
Revenue at LC Group Holdings Ltd is growing +63.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683)?
Earnings per share at LC Group Holdings Ltd are growing +36.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683) generate?
The free cash flow of LC Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$58.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does LC Group Holdings Ltd (1683) hold?
LC Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$16.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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