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2038 (2038) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · Market cap HK$13.9B

2 2038 2038 · HK
PriceHK$17.73
Fair ValueHK$10.59
Upside-40.3%
Quality64/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$7.92 – HK$13.26

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −41.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$30.53 HK$9.89 Fair Value HK$10.59 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$9.89 – HK$30.53 · fair‑value band HK$7.92 – HK$13.26 · the HK$17.73 price screens above the HK$10.59 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2038 (2038) currently trades at HK$17.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.59 — implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2038 generated revenue of HK$6.7B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$888M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 3.6%
Free cash flow −HK$78.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 33.5
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +320%
Net cash HK$888M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2038 reported revenue of HK$6.7B in FY2025 versus HK$8.6B in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$52.7M in FY2025, compounding −1.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −6.2%/yr
FY21 HK$8.6B
FY22 HK$9.4B
FY23 HK$6.4B
FY24 HK$5.7B
FY25 HK$6.7B
Net income −1.6%/yr
FY21 HK$56.3M
FY22 −HK$72.1M
FY23 −HK$121M
FY24 −HK$20.3M
FY25 HK$52.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $311.23 $86.29 -72%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 317,000 KRW 119,421 KRW -62%
Sony Group SNEJF $19.65 $23.06 +17%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810N 64.00 MXN 32.79 MXN -49%
Panasonic Holdings PCRHY $27.30 $10.25 -62%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 227,500 KRW 91,371 KRW -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2038 (2038) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$10.59 versus a price of HK$17.73 — about −40% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2038?
Our model-based fair value for 2038 is HK$10.59 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$17.73.
What is the quality score of 2038?
2038 has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2038 (2038)?
2038 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2038?
The net profit margin of 2038 is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 2038 pay a dividend?
2038 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.