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2450 (2450) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$1.3B

2 2450 2450 · HK
PriceHK$4.88
Fair ValueHK$0.8900
Upside-81.8%
Quality53/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.8900 – HK$2.27

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$5.19 HK$2.20 Fair Value HK$0.8900 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$2.20 – HK$5.19 · fair‑value band HK$0.8900 – HK$2.27 · the HK$4.88 price screens above the HK$0.8900 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2450 (2450) currently trades at HK$4.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8900 — implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2450 generated revenue of HK$219M at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.1%. Net debt stands at HK$1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$219M
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.9%
Net margin -13.2%
Return on equity -7.1%
Free cash flow −HK$223M FY2025
Operating margin 1.6%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -54.1%
Net debt HK$1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2450 reported revenue of HK$213M in FY2025 versus HK$370M in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$28.1M in FY2025.

Revenue −12.9%/yr
FY21 HK$370M
FY22 HK$408M
FY23 HK$291M
FY24 HK$236M
FY25 HK$213M
Net income
FY21 HK$64.7M
FY22 HK$67.4M
FY23 HK$37.5M
FY24 −HK$22.0M
FY25 −HK$28.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $106.52 $64.08 -40%
Holcim AG HCMLY $18.75 $9.07 -52%
Heidelberg Materials AG HEI €185.15 €157.48 -15%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $281.38 $116.17 -59%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $609.88 $218.79 -64%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹10,912 ₹4,589 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2450 (2450) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8900 versus a price of HK$4.88 — about −82% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2450?
Our model-based fair value for 2450 is HK$0.8900 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.88.
What is the quality score of 2450?
2450 has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2450 (2450)?
2450 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$219M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2450?
The net profit margin of 2450 is about -13.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.