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HEICO Corporation (HEI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $47.1B

HC HEICO Corporation logo HEICO Corporation HEI · US
Price$363.29
Fair Value$106.29
Upside-70.7%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.07% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range $75.55 – $160.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 33 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $102.91 to $106.29 (+3.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($160.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($75.55 to $160.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$367.66 $122.48 Fair Value $106.29 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $122.48 – $367.66 · fair‑value band $75.55 – $160.85 · the $363.29 price screens above the $106.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

HEICO Corporation (HEI) currently trades at $363.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $106.29, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HEICO Corporation generated revenue of $4.9B at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $75.55 (bear case) to $160.85 (bull case); at $363.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -71%, HEI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $70.54 $156.07 $290.26 80
Residual Income $32.75 $45.51 $178.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF $51.85 $103.92 $176.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.74 $148.22 $328.81 38
Owner Earnings $67.93 $151.19 $309.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $51.85 $105.74 $181.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $68.03 $141.41 $237.93 41
5Y P/E Exit $61.01 $125.94 $204.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit $55.89 $111.33 $202.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $69.00 $138.51 $253.11 37
10Y P/E Exit $64.21 $126.72 $222.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $33.35 $191.53 $266.35 54
Lynch FV $53.97 $77.10 $100.22 50
PEG = 1.0 $53.97 $77.10 $100.22 46
EPV $45.10 $54.92 $63.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.09 $4.34 $6.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.09 $3.66 $4.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $73.56 $98.09 $122.61 63
P/S Multiple $59.74 $79.65 $99.56 58
P/B Multiple $62.53 $83.37 $104.22 55
EV/EBIT $83.89 $116.47 $149.04 53
EV/EBITDA $70.33 $98.38 $126.43 54
EV/Revenue $41.93 $65.82 $89.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.29 $20.49 $30.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $70.54 $156.07 $290.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $51.85 $103.92 $176.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $32.75 $45.51 $178.21 76
ROIC Compounder $53.70 $84.13 $116.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $78.19 $111.70 $145.22 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($126.72) versus Dividend Discount ($3.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.3%
Net margin 16.1%
Return on equity 17.2%
Free cash flow $861M FY2025
P/E ratio 60.2
More key figures
Operating margin 25.5%
EPS (TTM) $5.60
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +48.2%
Net debt $2.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HEICO Corporation provides aerospace, defense, and electronic related products and services in the United States and internationally. Its Flight Support Group segment offers jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts; thermal insulation blankets and parts; renewable/reusable insulation systems; and specialty components and assemblies.

Full company description

HEICO Corporation provides aerospace, defense, and electronic related products and services in the United States and internationally. Its Flight Support Group segment offers jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts; thermal insulation blankets and parts; renewable/reusable insulation systems; and specialty components and assemblies. This segment also distributes hydraulic, pneumatic, structural, interconnect, mechanical, and electro-mechanical components for the commercial, regional, and general aviation markets; and offers repair and overhaul services for jet engine and aircraft component parts, avionics, instruments, composites, and commercial aircraft surfaces, as well as for avionics and navigation systems, subcomponents, and other military aircraft instruments. The company's Electronic Technologies Group segment provides electro-optical infrared simulation and test equipment; electro-optical laser products; electro-optical, microwave, and other power equipment; electromagnetic and radio frequency (RF) interference shielding and suppression filters; power electronics; power conversion and interface products; interconnection devices; and underwater locator and emergency locator transmission beacons. This segment also offers traveling wave tube amplifiers and microwave power modules; memory products and specialty semiconductors; environment connectivity products and molded cable assemblies; RF and microwave products; communications and electronic intercept receivers and tuners; self-sealing auxiliary fuel systems; active antenna systems and airborne antennas; nuclear radiation detectors; power amplifiers; ceramic-to-metal feedthroughs and connectors; technical surveillance countermeasures equipment; RF receivers and sources; radiation assurance, embedded computing, and silicone solutions; test sockets and adapters; and electronic components and rotary joint assemblies. The company was incorporated in 1957 and is headquartered in Hollywood, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HEICO Corporation reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was $690M in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.5B
Latest YoY
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+13.1%
Revenue +24.5%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $3.9B
FY25 $4.5B
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 $330M
FY22 $352M
FY23 $404M
FY24 $514M
FY25 $690M

HEI screens 71% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HEICO Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HEI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.50× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 60.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 10.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 54.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 47
PAST 69 · sector 39
HEALTH 75 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HEICO Corporation (HEI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $106.29 versus a price of $363.29, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HEI?
Our model-based fair value for HEICO Corporation is $106.29 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $363.29.
What is the quality score of HEI?
HEICO Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HEICO Corporation (HEI)?
HEICO Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HEI?
The net profit margin of HEICO Corporation is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HEICO Corporation pay a dividend?
HEICO Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 5, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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