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Carote Ltd (2549) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$2.2B

CL Carote Ltd 2549 · HK
PriceHK$3.84
Fair ValueHK$7.95
Upside+107.0%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.27% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range HK$4.36 – HK$13.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$9.24 to HK$7.95 (−14.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 107% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$4.36 to HK$13.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

HK$8.60 HK$3.37 Fair Value HK$7.95 Oct 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range HK$3.37 – HK$8.60 · fair‑value band HK$4.36 – HK$13.97 · the HK$3.84 price screens below the HK$7.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Carote Ltd (2549) currently trades at HK$3.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.95, implying the stock looks roughly 107.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Carote Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.2B at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$54.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.36 (bear case) to HK$13.97 (bull case); at HK$3.84, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 107%, 2549 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$2.98 HK$3.97 HK$14.16 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.97 HK$7.28 HK$8.73 72
Gordon GGM HK$1.11 HK$2.22 HK$3.36 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$7.46 HK$15.90 HK$32.95 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.18 HK$22.20 HK$31.15 54
Lynch FV HK$8.32 HK$11.89 HK$15.46 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$8.32 HK$11.89 HK$15.46 46
EPV HK$3.98 HK$4.53 HK$5.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.11 HK$2.22 HK$3.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.11 HK$1.92 HK$2.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$7.72 HK$10.30 HK$12.87 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.52 HK$4.70 HK$5.87 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.97 HK$7.96 HK$9.95 55
EV/EBIT HK$7.06 HK$9.24 HK$11.42 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.97 HK$6.46 HK$7.94 54
EV/Revenue HK$3.81 HK$5.22 HK$6.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.28 HK$1.71 HK$2.56 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.98 HK$3.97 HK$14.16 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.97 HK$7.28 HK$8.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$10.84 HK$15.48 HK$20.13 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$15.90) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 19.4%
Free cash flow −HK$25.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1900
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.1%
Net cash HK$54.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carote Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of kitchenware products in Mainland China, the United States, Western Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It offers cookware products, such as non-stick pots and pans, cast iron pots, and curated cookware sets; and kitchen utensils, drinkware, and other products.

Full company description

Carote Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of kitchenware products in Mainland China, the United States, Western Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It offers cookware products, such as non-stick pots and pans, cast iron pots, and curated cookware sets; and kitchen utensils, drinkware, and other products. The company sells its products under the CAROTE brand through third-party e-commerce platforms, as well as through wholesale distribution channels. Carote Ltd was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Carote Ltd is a subsidiary of Yili Investment Holdings Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carote Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2025 versus HK$675M in FY2021, a compound +33.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$258M in FY2025, compounding +68.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.2B
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.1%
Revenue +33.7%/yr
FY21 HK$675M
FY22 HK$768M
FY23 HK$1.6B
FY24 HK$2.1B
FY25 HK$2.2B
Net income +68.8%/yr
FY21 HK$31.7M
FY22 HK$109M
FY23 HK$237M
FY24 HK$356M
FY25 HK$258M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carote Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2549

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +107% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.56× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 19
FUTURE90 · sector 0
PAST77 · sector 19
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND68 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥84.34 ¥99.66 +18%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥40.23 ¥86.91 +116%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.79 ¥36.04 +65%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,500 TWD 1,917 TWD -85%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥173.26 ¥38.83 -78%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥27.69 ¥50.62 +83%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥57.74 ¥54.14 -6%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥41.68 ¥44.84 +8%
COWAY Co 021240 97,200 KRW 103,928 KRW +7%
Voltas Limited VOLTAS ₹1,290 ₹152.27 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carote Ltd (2549) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.95 versus a price of HK$3.84, about +107% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2549?
Our model-based fair value for Carote Ltd is HK$7.95 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.84.
What is the quality score of 2549?
Carote Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carote Ltd (2549)?
Carote Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2549?
The net profit margin of Carote Ltd is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Carote Ltd pay a dividend?
Carote Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.27% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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