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Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (603268) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 138B CNY

Price¥146.83
Fair Value¥38.95
Upside-73.5%
Quality90/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥29.21 – ¥155.80

Analysis

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co (603268) currently trades at ¥146.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥38.95 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co.,Ltd. produces and sells ceramic products in China and internationally. The company offers tableware in various styles, including garden flowers, ocean's songs, starry sky, and minimalism; kitchenware in various types, such as modern bakeware, vichy check pattern, dopamine colors, and slate series. It also provides coffee and tea ware in checkboard, French romance, bubbles, and tropical rainforest styles; and serving wares. Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Chaozhou, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.