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XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd HK$3.98, price HK$1.15, upside +247.6%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK

XE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd

2619 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$3.98 · Strongly undervalued (+247.6%)
!Quality 32/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +5.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!3.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.61 HK$1.11 Fair Value HK$3.98 Jun 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range HK$1.11 – HK$2.61 · fair‑value band HK$3.42 – HK$4.49 · the HK$1.15 price screens below the HK$3.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) Group Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and sale of electric home appliances and non-electric household goods.

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X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) Group Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, and sale of electric home appliances and non-electric household goods. The company offers electro-thermic appliances, including electric griddles, air fryers, and kettles; motor-driven appliances, such as blenders, mixers, and electric can openers; and electronic appliances comprising digital scales, humidifiers, and laser projector lights. It also provides non-electric household goods, including garden hoses and cookware. In addition, the company operates online stores on e-commerce platforms; and sales of lifestyle household goods. The company was formerly known as X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) Co., Ltd and changed its name to X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) Group Co., Ltd in January 2026. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619) currently trades at HK$1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.98, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$4.56 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$1.15 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.81, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$3.42 (bear) to HK$4.49 (bull), the price of HK$1.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 50.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$377M (≈ $48.0M) · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1200 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 248%, 2619 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.42 Fair Value HK$3.98 Bull HK$4.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0643 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$4.14 HK$4.53 HK$4.86 71
ROIC Compounder HK$4.14 HK$4.53 HK$4.88 69
Residual Income HK$3.63 HK$3.69 HK$3.85 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.48 HK$1.81 HK$2.03 65
EPV HK$4.14 HK$4.53 HK$4.86 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.42 HK$4.56 HK$5.70 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.77 HK$3.69 HK$4.62 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.77 HK$3.69 HK$4.62 55
EV/EBIT HK$6.04 HK$7.48 HK$8.93 66
EV/EBITDA HK$8.41 HK$10.64 HK$12.88 67
EV/Revenue HK$4.79 HK$6.12 HK$7.45 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.40 HK$3.22 HK$4.80 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.63 HK$3.69 HK$3.85 68
ROIC Compounder HK$4.14 HK$4.53 HK$4.88 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.42 HK$3.45 HK$4.49 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Return on assets 2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.25× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)61 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Midea Group 000333 ¥82.65 ¥129.21 +56%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,350 TWD 4,427 TWD −64%
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Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥20.14 ¥45.72 +127%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $177.74 $100.43 −43%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $62.75 $31.80 −49%
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $125.12 $107.31 −14%
De'Longhi S.p.A DLG €38.86 €40.11 +3%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.36 ¥41.56 +58%
COWAY Co 021240 99,800 KRW 74,673 KRW −25%

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XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$3.98 +71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2619

Frequently asked questions

Is XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.98 versus a price of HK$1.15, about +248% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2619?
Our model-based fair value for XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is HK$3.98 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.15.
What is the quality score of 2619?
XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.98 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.42, optimistic scenario HK$4.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.98, about +248% upside versus a price of HK$1.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.42, optimistic scenario HK$4.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd pay a dividend?
XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd it is HK$3.98 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.15. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2619 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.15, fair value HK$3.98, a gap of about +248% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2619?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.98). For XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd the two are HK$2.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd worth?
The market values XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd at about HK$377M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.15; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2619?
Our models span a range for XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.42, base HK$3.98, optimistic HK$4.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2619?
XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Balance-sheet figures for XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2619 from its 52-week high?
XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd trades at HK$1.15, about 56% below its 52-week high of HK$2.61 and 4% above the low of HK$1.11 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.15, calculated fair value HK$3.98 (+248%), Quality Score 32/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2619 calculated?
We run XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$1.15. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.98, about +248% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The market capitalisation of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is HK$377M (≈ $48.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Earnings per share at XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd are HK$0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The dividend yield of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 3.1% (payout 29.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The net margin of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 7.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
The operating margin of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Revenue at XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is growing −15.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619)?
Earnings per share at XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd are growing −76.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd (2619) generate?
The free cash flow of XJ Electrics (Hu Bei) Co Ltd is −133M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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