2886 (2886) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$1.4B

2 2886 2886 · HK

PriceHK$1.04

Fair ValueHK$1.92

Upside+84.6%

Quality54/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$1.57 – HK$3.70

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.9576 – HK$1.17 · fair‑value band HK$1.57 – HK$3.70 · the HK$1.04 price screens below the HK$1.92 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2886 (2886) currently trades at HK$1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.92 — implying the stock looks roughly 84.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 2886 generated revenue of HK$5.6B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at HK$2.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$5.6B

Revenue growth (YoY) +19.5%

Net margin 3.7%

Return on equity 9.6%

Free cash flow HK$107M FY2025

P/E ratio 6.1

More key figures

Operating margin 3.7%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300

Dividend yield 7.4%

EPS growth (YoY) +90.2%

Net debt HK$2.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2886 reported revenue of HK$5.6B in FY2025 versus HK$4.8B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$206M in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +3.7%/yr

FY21 HK$4.8B

FY22 HK$6.1B

FY23 HK$6.4B

FY24 HK$6.2B

FY25 HK$5.6B

Net income −15.3%/yr

FY21 HK$400M

FY22 HK$326M

FY23 HK$257M

FY24 HK$200M

FY25 HK$206M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group GASNY	$6.51	$6.59	+1%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO	$169.27	$87.09	-49%
Snam S.p.A SRG	€6.19	€4.95	-20%
Uniper SE UN0	€49.10	€14.80	-70%
NiSource Inc NI	$47.63	$20.56	-57%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY	$0.8537	$0.4100	-52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2886 (2886) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.92 versus a price of HK$1.04 — about +85% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2886?

Our model-based fair value for 2886 is HK$1.92 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.04.

What is the quality score of 2886?

2886 has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2886 (2886)?

2886 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2886?

The net profit margin of 2886 is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 2886 pay a dividend?

2886 currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.