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Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. ¥25.27, price ¥50.48, upside -49.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100004RT1

ZJ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd.

301072 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥25.27 · Strongly overvalued (−50%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 26 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥58.94 ¥12.35 Fair Value ¥25.27 Sep 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.35 – ¥58.94 · fair‑value band ¥20.24 – ¥30.29 · the ¥50.48 price screens above the ¥25.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of automotive precision parts for automotive industries in China and internationally. The company offers automotive shock absorption components that are used in automotive chassis systems, engine systems, body systems, and other systems.

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Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of automotive precision parts for automotive industries in China and internationally. The company offers automotive shock absorption components that are used in automotive chassis systems, engine systems, body systems, and other systems. It also provides stamping, die casting, injection molding, and metal working and other parts. The company's products used for shock-absorbing parts, body, and chassis fiels. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Wuxi, China.

Stock analysis

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072) currently trades at ¥50.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.27, implying the stock looks roughly 99.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥20.24 (bear) to ¥30.29 (bull), the price of ¥50.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 809M CNY in FY2025 versus 623M CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −54.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $792M) · P/S ratio 4.33 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin 0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −50%, 301072 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥20.24 Fair Value ¥25.27 Bull ¥30.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥3.02 ¥3.77 ¥4.52 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.45 ¥4.62 ¥6.90 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥3.02 ¥3.77 ¥4.52 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.45 ¥4.62 ¥6.90 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 99
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2020) → −4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

301072 screens 100% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 662 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.09× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)26 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,290 ₹26,308 −46%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,009 ₹415.47 −79%
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Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. · Fair Value
¥25.27 −100%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301072

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥25.27 versus a price of ¥50.48, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301072?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is ¥25.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥50.48.
What is the quality score of 301072?
Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥25.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥20.24, optimistic scenario ¥30.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥25.27, about −50% upside versus a price of ¥50.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥20.24, optimistic scenario ¥30.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 819M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. it is ¥25.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥50.48. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301072 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥50.48, fair value ¥25.27, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301072?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥50.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥25.27). For Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. the two are ¥25.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥50.48; our models calculate a fair value of ¥25.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301072?
Our models span a range for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥20.24, base ¥25.27, optimistic ¥30.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥50.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.3%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301072 from its 52-week high?
Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. trades at ¥50.48, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥37.50 and 159% above the low of ¥19.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥25.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥50.48, calculated fair value ¥25.27 (−50%), Quality Score 47/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301072 calculated?
We run Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥25.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥50.48. Our model-based fair value is ¥25.27, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥30.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is 5.3B CNY (≈ $792M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is 4.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Earnings per share at Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. are ¥−0.5200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The dividend yield of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The net margin of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
The operating margin of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Revenue at Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072)?
Earnings per share at Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. are growing −71.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. (301072) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongjie (Jiangsu) Technology Co.Ltd. is −14.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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