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Magna International Inc (MGAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 16, 2026: fair value of Magna International Inc MXN 1,206, price MXN 1,122, upside +7.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · MX · ISIN CA5592224011

MI Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Magna International Inc

MGAN · MX

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 1,206 MXN · Fairly valued (+7.5%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.2% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 35/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,764 MXN 679.53 MXN Fair Value 1,206 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 679.53 MXN – 1,764 MXN · fair‑value band 904.40 MXN – 1,487 MXN · the 1,122 MXN price screens below the 1,206 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles.

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Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and vehicle concepts, complete vehicle engineering and integration, human-machine interface, developing modules and systems, platform solutions, prototyping and low-volume manufacturing, vehicle safety testing, aerospace, and integrating functionality, features, and ADAS; and complete vehicle solutions, body-in-white, paint, and assembly complete vehicle manufacturing products. It also provides engineering services for commercial vehicles, such as propulsion engineering, software and simulation, testing services, and smart production; OPTiForm, a battery enclosure, steel battery enclosures, aluminum battery enclosures, and hybrid battery enclosures; battery enclosure production and engineering solutions; SmartAccess, a B-Pillarless power door system; and composite EV battery covers. In addition, it offers energy management solutions; hot stamping, high strength steels, aluminum castings, and high-pressure vacuum casting; suspension links and arms, twist axle, carbon fiber subframe, and frames; ADAS and Automated Driving, including Cameras, thermal sensing, interior sensing, complete radar portfolio, and compute units; and chassis control, glow plug control, powertrain control, and mechatronic control modules. Further, it provides exterior and interior products comprising assist steps, engineered glass, exterior solutions, greenhouse surrounds, lighting, mechatronics, mirrors, and seating; and powertrain products consisting BEV, Hybrid, and ICE powertrain, as well as modules and components, and energy storage systems. Magna International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Aurora, Canada.

Stock analysis

Magna International Inc (MGAN) currently trades at 1,122 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,206 MXN, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 1,828 MXN per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,122 MXN price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 471.49 MXN, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 904.40 MXN (bear) to 1,487 MXN (bull), the price of 1,122 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Magna International Inc reported revenue of $42.0B in FY2025 versus $36.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $829M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 314B MXN (≈ $17.3B) · P/E ratio 27.0 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) 41.50 MXN · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 8%, MGAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 904.40 MXN Fair Value 1,206 MXN Bull 1,487 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (29.90 MXN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1,547 MXN 2,251 MXN 3,268 MXN 80
Growth DCF 1,607 MXN 2,275 MXN 3,202 MXN 79
Owner Earnings 962.53 MXN 1,431 MXN 2,109 MXN 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,547 MXN 2,251 MXN 3,268 MXN 80
Owner Earnings 962.53 MXN 1,431 MXN 2,109 MXN 76
5Y Revenue Exit 1,194 MXN 1,800 MXN 2,548 MXN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,770 MXN 2,804 MXN 3,966 MXN 75
5Y P/E Exit 941.89 MXN 1,361 MXN 1,775 MXN 71
10Y Revenue Exit 1,277 MXN 1,836 MXN 2,492 MXN 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,670 MXN 2,507 MXN 3,500 MXN 68
10Y P/E Exit 1,156 MXN 1,542 MXN 1,944 MXN 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 375.74 MXN 767.21 MXN 967.05 MXN 66
EPV 984.16 MXN 1,182 MXN 1,356 MXN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 332.93 MXN 487.50 MXN 648.90 MXN 69
DDM Multi-Stage 332.93 MXN 471.49 MXN 631.06 MXN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 911.73 MXN 1,216 MXN 1,520 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 704.52 MXN 939.36 MXN 1,174 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 704.52 MXN 939.36 MXN 1,174 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 1,694 MXN 2,327 MXN 2,960 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 2,216 MXN 3,023 MXN 3,829 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 1,075 MXN 1,624 MXN 2,172 MXN 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 416.36 MXN 557.92 MXN 832.72 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,607 MXN 2,275 MXN 3,202 MXN 79
Rev-Margin DCF 1,194 MXN 1,828 MXN 2,510 MXN 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 675.04 MXN 707.60 MXN 771.24 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 1,001 MXN 1,257 MXN 1,536 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 662.69 MXN 946.70 MXN 1,231 MXN 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.5% a year for the price and −0.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.7%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magna International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGAN

Frequently asked questions

Is Magna International Inc (MGAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,206 MXN versus the last price from Jul 16, 2026 of 1,122 MXN, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MGAN?
Our model-based fair value for Magna International Inc is 1,206 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 16, 2026): 1,122 MXN.
What is the quality score of MGAN?
Magna International Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,206 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 904.40 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,487 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magna International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,206 MXN, about +8% upside versus the last price from Jul 16, 2026 of 1,122 MXN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 904.40 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,487 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Magna International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $42.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Magna International Inc pay a dividend?
Magna International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Magna International Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +2.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGAN use?
Our models discount Magna International Inc at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.86, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Magna International Inc that is +2.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Magna International Inc (MGAN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Magna International Inc grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +2.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Magna International Inc (MGAN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Magna International Inc (+2.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.19 %: that much free cash flow Magna International Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Magna International Inc it is 1,206 MXN per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of 1,122 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Magna International Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, MGAN trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,122 MXN, fair value 1,206 MXN, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,122 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,206 MXN). For Magna International Inc the two are 84.36 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Magna International Inc worth?
The market values Magna International Inc at about 314B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is 1,122 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 1,206 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGAN?
Our models span a range for Magna International Inc: cautious scenario 904.40 MXN, base 1,206 MXN, optimistic 1,487 MXN per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price 1,122 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is MGAN from its 52-week high?
Magna International Inc trades at 1,122 MXN, about 5% below its 52-week high of 1,182 MXN and 47% above the low of 763.55 MXN (as of Jul 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,206 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Magna International Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Magna International Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price 1,122 MXN, calculated fair value 1,206 MXN (+8%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGAN calculated?
We run Magna International Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,206 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Magna International Inc currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 16, 2026 and stands at 1,122 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 1,206 MXN, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Magna International Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Magna International Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The market capitalisation of Magna International Inc is 314B MXN (≈ $17.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Magna International Inc is 27.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Magna International Inc is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Earnings per share at Magna International Inc are 41.50 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The dividend yield of Magna International Inc is 0.2% (payout 4.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The net margin of Magna International Inc is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Magna International Inc is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Magna International Inc is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
The operating margin of Magna International Inc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Revenue at Magna International Inc is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Earnings per share at Magna International Inc are growing −35.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Magna International Inc (MGAN) carry?
The net debt of Magna International Inc is $3.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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