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Magna International Inc (MGAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 305B MXN

MI Magna International Inc MGAN · MX
Price1,122 MXN
Fair Value1,172 MXN
Upside+4.5%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.17% dividend yield
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range 878.62 MXN – 1,464 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 1,575 MXN to 1,172 MXN (−25.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 878.62 MXN (bear) to 1,464 MXN (bull), base 1,172 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,764 MXN 679.53 MXN Fair Value 1,172 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 679.53 MXN – 1,764 MXN · fair‑value band 878.62 MXN – 1,464 MXN · the 1,122 MXN price screens below the 1,172 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Magna International Inc (MGAN) currently trades at 1,122 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,172 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Magna International Inc generated revenue of 42.3B MXN at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 3.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 878.62 MXN (bear case) to 1,464 MXN (bull case); at 1,122 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 4%, MGAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 84.59 MXN 123.66 MXN 179.07 MXN 80
Residual Income 37.68 MXN 39.79 MXN 42.50 MXN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 63.97 MXN 99.78 MXN 137.50 MXN 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 81.15 MXN 122.13 MXN 182.39 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 47.01 MXN 72.85 MXN 110.85 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 63.97 MXN 98.49 MXN 140.27 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 96.56 MXN 155.58 MXN 220.64 MXN 41
5Y P/E Exit 49.69 MXN 73.49 MXN 96.47 MXN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 67.32 MXN 99.52 MXN 137.90 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 90.12 MXN 138.69 MXN 197.00 MXN 37
10Y P/E Exit 60.33 MXN 82.37 MXN 105.69 MXN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 20.71 MXN 43.77 MXN 55.47 MXN 54
PEG = 1.0 6.61 MXN 9.44 MXN 12.27 MXN 46
EPV 57.52 MXN 69.66 MXN 80.45 MXN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19.22 MXN 29.86 MXN 41.83 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 19.22 MXN 28.02 MXN 38.48 MXN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 50.25 MXN 67.00 MXN 83.75 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 38.83 MXN 51.77 MXN 64.71 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 38.83 MXN 51.77 MXN 64.71 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 93.35 MXN 128.23 MXN 163.11 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 122.11 MXN 166.58 MXN 211.05 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 59.25 MXN 89.47 MXN 119.70 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.95 MXN 30.75 MXN 45.89 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 84.59 MXN 123.66 MXN 179.07 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 63.97 MXN 99.78 MXN 137.50 MXN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 37.68 MXN 39.79 MXN 42.50 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 58.91 MXN 75.29 MXN 93.80 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.85 MXN 52.64 MXN 68.43 MXN 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (99.78 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (28.02 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 42.3B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 6.0%
Free cash flow 2.3B MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 28.2
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) 41.83 MXN
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.7%
Net debt 3.1B MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles.

Full company description

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and vehicle concepts, complete vehicle engineering and integration, human-machine interface, developing modules and systems, platform solutions, prototyping and low-volume manufacturing, vehicle safety testing, aerospace, and integrating functionality, features, and ADAS; and complete vehicle solutions, body-in-white, paint, and assembly complete vehicle manufacturing products. It also provides engineering services for commercial vehicles, such as propulsion engineering, software and simulation, testing services, and smart production; OPTiForm, a battery enclosure, steel battery enclosures, aluminum battery enclosures, and hybrid battery enclosures; battery enclosure production and engineering solutions; SmartAccess, a B-Pillarless power door system; and composite EV battery covers. In addition, it offers energy management solutions; hot stamping, high strength steels, aluminum castings, and high-pressure vacuum casting; suspension links and arms, twist axle, carbon fiber subframe, and frames; ADAS and Automated Driving, including Cameras, thermal sensing, interior sensing, complete radar portfolio, and compute units; and chassis control, glow plug control, powertrain control, and mechatronic control modules. Further, it provides exterior and interior products comprising assist steps, engineered glass, exterior solutions, greenhouse surrounds, lighting, mechatronics, mirrors, and seating; and powertrain products consisting BEV, Hybrid, and ICE powertrain, as well as modules and components, and energy storage systems. Magna International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Aurora, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Magna International Inc reported revenue of 42.0B MXN in FY2025 versus 36.2B MXN in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 829M MXN in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
42.0B MXN
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 36.2B MXN
FY22 37.8B MXN
FY23 42.8B MXN
FY24 42.8B MXN
FY25 42.0B MXN
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 1.5B MXN
FY22 592M MXN
FY23 1.2B MXN
FY24 1.0B MXN
FY25 829M MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magna International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGAN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Magna International Inc (MGAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,172 MXN versus a price of 1,122 MXN, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MGAN?
Our model-based fair value for Magna International Inc is 1,172 MXN (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,122 MXN.
What is the quality score of MGAN?
Magna International Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Magna International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MGAN?
The net profit margin of Magna International Inc is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Magna International Inc pay a dividend?
Magna International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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