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Data-driven stock valuation

Magna International Inc (MGAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Magna International Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 305B MXN (≈ $18.1B) · ISIN CA5592224011

At a glance

MI Magna International Inc MGAN · MX
Price from Jul 16, 20261,122 MXN
Fair Value1,142 MXN
Upside+1.8%
Quality59/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of 1,142 MXN.

As of Aug 14, 2026, the fair value of Magna International Inc is 1,142 MXN per share against a price of 1,122 MXN, so the fair value sits 2% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.17% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range 847.89 MXN to 1,427 MXN

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from 1,172 MXN to 1,142 MXN (−2.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,764 MXN 679.53 MXN Fair Value 1,142 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 679.53 MXN – 1,764 MXN · fair‑value band 847.89 MXN – 1,427 MXN · the 1,122 MXN price screens below the 1,142 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Magna International Inc (MGAN) currently trades at 1,122 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,142 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 25 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Magna International Inc generated revenue of 42.3B MXN at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 3.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Scenario range: 847.89 MXN (bear) to 1,427 MXN (bull), the price of 1,122 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 2%, MGAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (27.08 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 80.59 MXN 120.38 MXN 180.84 MXN 80
Growth DCF 84.12 MXN 122.25 MXN 177.88 MXN 78
Owner Earnings 46.66 MXN 71.75 MXN 109.87 MXN 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 80.59 MXN 120.38 MXN 180.84 MXN 80
Owner Earnings 46.66 MXN 71.75 MXN 109.87 MXN 76
5Y Revenue Exit 63.74 MXN 97.68 MXN 139.61 MXN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 96.21 MXN 154.28 MXN 219.59 MXN 75
5Y P/E Exit 49.52 MXN 72.89 MXN 96.02 MXN 71
10Y Revenue Exit 67.02 MXN 98.58 MXN 135.89 MXN 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 89.68 MXN 137.31 MXN 194.02 MXN 68
10Y P/E Exit 60.07 MXN 81.62 MXN 104.21 MXN 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 20.71 MXN 42.28 MXN 53.30 MXN 66
EPV 57.52 MXN 69.66 MXN 80.45 MXN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19.22 MXN 28.75 MXN 39.14 MXN 68
DDM Multi-Stage 19.22 MXN 27.72 MXN 37.94 MXN 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 50.25 MXN 67.00 MXN 83.75 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 38.83 MXN 51.77 MXN 64.71 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 38.83 MXN 51.77 MXN 64.71 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 93.35 MXN 128.23 MXN 163.11 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 122.11 MXN 166.58 MXN 211.05 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 59.25 MXN 89.47 MXN 119.70 MXN 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.95 MXN 30.75 MXN 45.89 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 84.12 MXN 122.25 MXN 177.88 MXN 78
Rev-Margin DCF 63.74 MXN 99.02 MXN 136.86 MXN 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 37.68 MXN 39.79 MXN 42.50 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 58.80 MXN 74.84 MXN 92.73 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.52 MXN 52.17 MXN 67.83 MXN 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (99.02 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (27.72 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 26.8
P/S ratio 0.53 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 41.83 MXN price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.8
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 4.7%
Net margin 2.0% FY2025
Return on equity 6.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 42.3B MXN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1% 3y avg +3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −35.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.3B MXN FY2025
Net debt 3.1B MXN FY2025 · ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles.

Full company description

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and vehicle concepts, complete vehicle engineering and integration, human-machine interface, developing modules and systems, platform solutions, prototyping and low-volume manufacturing, vehicle safety testing, aerospace, and integrating functionality, features, and ADAS; and complete vehicle solutions, body-in-white, paint, and assembly complete vehicle manufacturing products. It also provides engineering services for commercial vehicles, such as propulsion engineering, software and simulation, testing services, and smart production; OPTiForm, a battery enclosure, steel battery enclosures, aluminum battery enclosures, and hybrid battery enclosures; battery enclosure production and engineering solutions; SmartAccess, a B-Pillarless power door system; and composite EV battery covers. In addition, it offers energy management solutions; hot stamping, high strength steels, aluminum castings, and high-pressure vacuum casting; suspension links and arms, twist axle, carbon fiber subframe, and frames; ADAS and Automated Driving, including Cameras, thermal sensing, interior sensing, complete radar portfolio, and compute units; and chassis control, glow plug control, powertrain control, and mechatronic control modules. Further, it provides exterior and interior products comprising assist steps, engineered glass, exterior solutions, greenhouse surrounds, lighting, mechatronics, mirrors, and seating; and powertrain products consisting BEV, Hybrid, and ICE powertrain, as well as modules and components, and energy storage systems. Magna International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Aurora, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Magna International Inc reported revenue of $42.0B in FY2025 versus $36.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $829M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
42.0B MXN
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−10.3%
Dividend yield0.2%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.6% (2020) → 5.0% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop64% (2020) · in MXN
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 $36.2B
FY22 $37.8B
FY23 $42.8B
FY24 $42.8B
FY25 $42.0B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $592M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $829M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magna International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGAN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Magna International Inc deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+37.7 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+5.2 % p.a.
FCF yield on price0.73 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.9 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Magna International Inc (MGAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,142 MXN versus the last price from Jul 16, 2026 of 1,122 MXN, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MGAN?
Our model-based fair value for Magna International Inc is 1,142 MXN (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 16, 2026): 1,122 MXN.
What is the quality score of MGAN?
Magna International Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,142 MXN (as of Aug 14, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 847.89 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,427 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magna International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,142 MXN, about +2% upside versus the last price from Jul 16, 2026 of 1,122 MXN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 847.89 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,427 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
Magna International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MGAN?
The net profit margin of Magna International Inc is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Magna International Inc pay a dividend?
Magna International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Magna International Inc (MGAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Magna International Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +37.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.9 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Aug 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGAN use?
Our models discount Magna International Inc at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.85. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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