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Ningbo Tuopu Group (601689) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 88.1B CNY

NT Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 · SHG
Price¥49.77
Fair Value¥28.28
Upside-43.2%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.90% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range ¥20.39 – ¥36.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −17.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥36.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥83.42 ¥18.40 Fair Value ¥28.28 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥18.40 – ¥83.42 · fair‑value band ¥20.39 – ¥36.18 · the ¥49.77 price screens above the ¥28.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Tuopu Group (601689) currently trades at ¥49.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥28.28, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Tuopu Group generated revenue of 30.4B CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. Net debt stands at 5.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥20.39 (bear case) to ¥36.18 (bull case); at ¥49.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -43%, 601689 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.16 ¥20.16 ¥36.31 80
Residual Income ¥12.69 ¥14.81 ¥29.22 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.50 ¥36.38 ¥69.80 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.75 ¥18.42 ¥36.46 38
Owner Earnings ¥15.35 ¥31.26 ¥64.66 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥18.50 ¥32.20 ¥61.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.39 ¥50.19 ¥95.02 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥23.68 ¥53.07 ¥93.74 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥16.40 ¥37.80 ¥53.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥23.61 ¥56.92 ¥117.73 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥20.91 ¥48.95 ¥96.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.87 ¥75.84 ¥106.42 54
Lynch FV ¥27.94 ¥39.91 ¥51.89 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥27.94 ¥39.91 ¥51.89 46
EPV ¥17.57 ¥20.02 ¥22.16 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.77 ¥9.91 ¥15.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.77 ¥8.35 ¥10.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥23.99 ¥31.98 ¥39.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥20.39 ¥27.19 ¥33.98 58
P/B Multiple ¥20.39 ¥27.19 ¥33.98 55
EV/EBIT ¥26.57 ¥34.47 ¥42.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥31.77 ¥41.40 ¥51.03 54
EV/Revenue ¥18.85 ¥25.70 ¥32.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.93 ¥9.29 ¥13.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.16 ¥20.16 ¥36.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.50 ¥36.38 ¥69.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.69 ¥14.81 ¥29.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥21.03 ¥29.09 ¥35.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥35.22 ¥50.31 ¥65.41 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥50.31) versus Dividend Discount (¥8.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 30.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.9%
Net margin 9.1%
Return on equity 11.7%
Free cash flow 1.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 42.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.60
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net debt 5.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Tuopu Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of auto parts in China and internationally.

Full company description

Ningbo Tuopu Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of auto parts in China and internationally. The company offers noise, vibration, and harshness damping systems, such as powertrain supports, drive motor shock absorbers, telescopic shock absorber supports, torsional shock absorbers, subframe supports, and hydraulic bushings; and interior and exterior trim systems, including door panels, headliners, main carpets, coat racks, sound and heat insulation components, trunk sound insulation components, and other sound insulation and noise reduction products, as well as sealing strip and decorative strip exterior trim products. It also provides lightweight body comprising integrated molded front and rear floor panels, body structural components, door structural components, and battery pack structural components; and intelligent cockpit components consisting of rotating screen controllers, electric tailgates, electric sliding doors, seat comfort systems, and in-vehicle oxygen control systems. In addition, the company offers integrated heat pump assembly, multi-way valve, electronic water pump, and electronic expansion valve thermal management systems; front and rear steel aluminum subframes, control arms, tie rods, and steering knuckles chassis systems; integrated air supply unit, air spring, and height sensor air suspension systems; brake-by-wire, power steering, electronically adjustable column intelligent driving systems; and linear actuators, rotary actuators, dexterous motors and assemblies, sensors, body structural components, foot shock absorbers, and electronic flexible skin. It serves electric vehicle manufacturers and traditional OEM automakers. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Mecca International Holding (HK) Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Tuopu Group reported revenue of ¥29.5B in FY2025 versus ¥11.5B in FY2021, a compound +26.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.8B in FY2025, compounding +28.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
29.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+35.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+22.7%
Revenue +26.7%/yr
FY21 ¥11.5B
FY22 ¥16.0B
FY23 ¥19.7B
FY24 ¥26.6B
FY25 ¥29.5B
Net income +28.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.0B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥3.0B
FY25 ¥2.8B

601689 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Tuopu Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601689

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 75 · sector 24
PAST 47 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹660.10 ₹207.06 -69%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Tuopu Group (601689) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥28.28 versus a price of ¥49.77, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601689?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Tuopu Group is ¥28.28 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥49.77.
What is the quality score of 601689?
Ningbo Tuopu Group has a Quality Score of 38/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Tuopu Group (601689)?
Ningbo Tuopu Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601689?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Tuopu Group is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Tuopu Group pay a dividend?
Ningbo Tuopu Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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