3778 (3778) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$376M

3 3778 3778 · HK

PriceHK$3.00

Fair ValueHK$3.84

Upside+28.0%

Quality56/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$3.72 – HK$3.94

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price +25.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.40 – HK$3.53 · fair‑value band HK$3.72 – HK$3.94 · the HK$3.00 price screens below the HK$3.84 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3778 (3778) currently trades at HK$3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.84 — implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3778 generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.0%. Net debt stands at HK$127M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B

Revenue growth (YoY) -17.0%

Net margin -0.6%

Return on equity -1.0%

Free cash flow HK$99.7M FY2025

Operating margin 0.6%

More key figures

Dividend yield 4.5%

EPS growth (YoY) -67.0%

Net debt HK$127M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3778 reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.7M in FY2025.

Revenue −10.7%/yr

FY21 HK$1.7B

FY22 HK$1.3B

FY23 HK$1.1B

FY24 HK$1.3B

FY25 HK$1.1B

Net income

FY21 HK$203M

FY22 −HK$12.6M

FY23 −HK$26.5M

FY24 −HK$11.7M

FY25 −HK$6.7M

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6 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Toray Industries, Inc TRYIF	$7.90	$6.29	-20%
Shenzhou International Group SZHIF	$6.78	$9.47	+40%
Tongkun Group 601233	¥23.09	¥14.53	-37%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306	¥110.20	¥13.36	-88%
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KPRMILL KPRMILL	₹1,181	₹467.49	-60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3778 (3778) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.84 versus a price of HK$3.00 — about +28% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3778?

Our model-based fair value for 3778 is HK$3.84 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.00.

What is the quality score of 3778?

3778 has a Quality Score of 56/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3778 (3778)?

3778 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3778?

The net profit margin of 3778 is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3778 pay a dividend?

3778 currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.50% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.