China Weaving Materials Holdings (3778) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$376M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$3.84 to HK$3.80 (−1.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$3.69 to HK$3.91), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.29 – HK$4.86 · fair‑value band HK$3.69 – HK$3.91 · the HK$2.95 price screens below the HK$3.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
China Weaving Materials Holdings (3778) currently trades at HK$2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.80, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Weaving Materials Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.0%. Net debt stands at HK$127M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.69 (bear case) to HK$3.91 (bull case); at HK$2.95, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 29%, 3778 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$8.02) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Weaving Materials Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of yarns products and related raw materials in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
China Weaving Materials Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of yarns products and related raw materials in the People's Republic of China. It offers pure cotton yarn, polyester yarn, and polyester cotton blended yarn products; and grey and deep grey mélange, grey mélange-cotton blended, and other products. China Weaving Materials Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Weaving Materials Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥91.75 | ¥12.85 | -86% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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