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Tongkun Group (601233) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 53.1B CNY

Price¥23.09
Fair Value¥14.53
Upside-37.1%
Quality94/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.89 – ¥18.16

Analysis

Tongkun Group (601233) currently trades at ¥23.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.53 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Tongkun Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells civilian polyester filament yarns in China and internationally. It offers civilian polyester filaments, including polyester pre-oriented yarn (POY), polyester fully drawn yarn, polyester series of polyester POY, polyester stretch textured yarn, polyester composite yarn, ITY, and medium-strength yarn. It also provides terephthalic acid, ethylene glycol, and other products. The company's products are used in the manufacture of clothing fabrics and home textile products, as well as industrial use. It sells its products under the GOLDENCOCK and Tongkun brands. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Tongxiang, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.