HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co (603306) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 33.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥13.36 to ¥12.85 (−3.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −20.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.58 to ¥16.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥15.53 – ¥118.39 · fair‑value band ¥8.58 – ¥16.64 · the ¥73.03 price screens above the ¥12.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co (603306) currently trades at ¥73.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.85, implying the stock looks roughly 82.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 761M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.58 (bear case) to ¥16.64 (bull case); at ¥73.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -82%, 603306 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥15.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells fabrics in China and internationally. It offers automotive safety airbag fabrics, airbags/OPWs, seat belts, bulletproof fabrics, mesh clothes and other industrial fabrics.
Full company description
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells fabrics in China and internationally. It offers automotive safety airbag fabrics, airbags/OPWs, seat belts, bulletproof fabrics, mesh clothes and other industrial fabrics. The company was formerly known as Huamao (Xiamen) Technical Textile Co., Ltd and changed its name to HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd in 2010. HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 2002 and is based in Xiamen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co reported revenue of ¥2.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥218M in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
603306 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥8.08 | ¥7.87 | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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