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China Television Media Ltd (600088) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Television Media Ltd ¥1.97, price ¥13.36, upside -85.3%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE000000QY2

CT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

China Television Media Ltd

600088 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.97 · Strongly overvalued (−85.3%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.2% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!0.2% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥28.95 ¥7.63 Fair Value ¥1.97 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.63 – ¥28.95 · fair‑value band ¥1.94 – ¥2.06 · the ¥13.36 price screens above the ¥1.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Television Media, Ltd. engages in the film and television (TV) program production and sales business in China.

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China Television Media, Ltd. engages in the film and television (TV) program production and sales business in China. The company is involved in the planning, investment, production, operation, and management of ultra-high-definition/high-definition documentaries, TV programs, large-scale gala events, and promotional videos; pre-production and post-production technical services for film and television, as well as professional equipment rental services; and distribution and sales of film and television works. It also provides advertising services; and tourist ticket sales, park operations, and film and television shooting services. In addition, the company engages in investing in niche sectors, such as converged media. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Shanghai, China. China Television Media, Ltd. is a subsidiary of CCTV Wuxi Taihu Movie & TV City.

Stock analysis

China Television Media Ltd (600088) currently trades at ¥13.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.97, 85.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.46 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥13.36 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5300, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.94 (bear) to ¥2.06 (bull), the price of ¥13.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Television Media Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −18.0M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $793M) · P/S ratio 4.70 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin −0.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −85%, 600088 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.94 Fair Value ¥1.97 Bull ¥2.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥2.11 ¥2.26 ¥2.45 73
EPV ¥1.91 ¥1.93 ¥1.95 70
ROIC Compounder ¥1.91 ¥1.93 ¥1.95 68
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.11 ¥2.26 ¥2.45 73
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.91 ¥1.93 ¥1.95 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3600 ¥0.6300 ¥0.9000 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3600 ¥0.5300 ¥0.6800 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.27 ¥2.46 ¥2.64 63
EV/EBITDA ¥3.06 ¥3.51 ¥3.95 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.14 ¥2.32 ¥2.50 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.58 ¥2.11 ¥3.15 51
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.91 ¥1.93 ¥1.95 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.3% (2020) → 1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600088 screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −6.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −0.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 36.56× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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China Television Media Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.97 −85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Television Media Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600088

Frequently asked questions

Is China Television Media Ltd (600088) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.97 versus a price of ¥13.36, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600088?
Our model-based fair value for China Television Media Ltd is ¥1.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.36.
What is the quality score of 600088?
China Television Media Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.94, optimistic scenario ¥2.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Television Media Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.97, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥13.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.94, optimistic scenario ¥2.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
China Television Media Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Television Media Ltd pay a dividend?
China Television Media Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Television Media Ltd it is ¥1.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.36. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Television Media Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600088 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.36, fair value ¥1.97, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600088?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.97). For China Television Media Ltd the two are ¥11.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Television Media Ltd worth?
The market values China Television Media Ltd at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.36; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600088?
Our models span a range for China Television Media Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.94, base ¥1.97, optimistic ¥2.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 600088?
The PEG ratio of China Television Media Ltd is 36.56 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Television Media Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600088 from its 52-week high?
China Television Media Ltd trades at ¥13.36, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥20.01 and 25% above the low of ¥10.65 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Television Media Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Television Media Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.36, calculated fair value ¥1.97 (−85%), Quality Score 49/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600088 calculated?
We run China Television Media Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Television Media Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥13.36. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.97, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Television Media Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥1.94 to ¥2.06), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of China Television Media Ltd (600088) come from?
Earnings per share at China Television Media Ltd grew +11.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin +6.6 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Television Media Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The market capitalisation of China Television Media Ltd is 5.3B CNY (≈ $793M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Television Media Ltd is 4.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Earnings per share at China Television Media Ltd are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The dividend yield of China Television Media Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The net margin of China Television Media Ltd is −1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Television Media Ltd is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Television Media Ltd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
The operating margin of China Television Media Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Revenue at China Television Media Ltd is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Television Media Ltd (600088)?
Earnings per share at China Television Media Ltd are growing +35.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Television Media Ltd (600088) generate?
The free cash flow of China Television Media Ltd is −64.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Television Media Ltd (600088) hold?
China Television Media Ltd holds more cash than debt, 599M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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