Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.20 to ¥15.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.65 – ¥99.89 · fair‑value band ¥8.20 – ¥15.06 · the ¥69.88 price screens above the ¥12.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) currently trades at ¥69.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.05, implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 355M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.20 (bear case) to ¥15.06 (bull case); at ¥69.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 169% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -83%, 605389 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.81) versus Asset-Based (¥7.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 605389 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of hydraulic components in China and internationally.
Full company description
JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of hydraulic components in China and internationally. The company offers slewing drives, slewing drives for solar tracking systems, hydraulic centre joints, adjuster cylinders, spring tensioning devices, valves, and pin bushing products; central turning joints and springs; precision castings, such as compressor and automotive castings; and photovoltaic and construction machinery rotary reducers, as well as related accessories. It also engages in investment activities. The company's products are used in various industries, including construction machinery, mining machinery, and offshore operations. JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jiangyin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥907M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥126M in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.
605389 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$138.50 | HK$78.56 | -43% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $408.44 | $344.67 | -16% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $555.65 | $179.94 | -68% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $286.97 | $151.86 | -47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $102.90 | $52.80 | -49% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 265.10 | kr 192.57 | -27% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | -50% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $97.92 | $69.71 | -29% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥30.08 | ¥30.38 | +1% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | -81% |
Compare Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 605389?
What is the quality score of 605389?
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
What is the net profit margin of 605389?
Does Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.