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Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd HK$0.11, price HK$0.96, upside -88.5%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd
6063 · HKStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
Quality 60/100
Generates free cash flow
Fair value HK$0.1100 · Strongly overvalued (−88.5%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr in HKD)
Loss-making · -1.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 24/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$1.42 · fair‑value band HK$0.0900 – HK$0.1400 · the HK$0.9550 price screens above the HK$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Company profile
Lotus Horizon Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides design, supply, and installation services for facade works and building metal finishing works in Hong Kong.
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Lotus Horizon Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides design, supply, and installation services for facade works and building metal finishing works in Hong Kong. The company provides customized system design for façade works and building metal finishing works, shop drawings, sourcing and procurement of materials, material fabrication and processing, on-site installation works, performance testing, and post-installation maintenance services. It also offers corporate management services. The company provides its services for commercial properties, residential properties, and public facilities. It serves property developers and contractors. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong. Lotus Horizon Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Platinum Lotus Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) currently trades at HK$0.9550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, 88.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1300 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.9550 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0900 (bear) to HK$0.1400 (bull), the price of HK$0.9550 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$226M in FY2026 versus HK$224M in FY2022, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.9B (≈ $243M) · P/S ratio 8.45 · Net margin −1.5% · Return on equity −2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.8% · Operating margin −4.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$226M · Revenue growth (YoY) −17.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 431% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −88%, 6063 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0900
Fair Value HK$0.1100
Bull HK$0.1400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1200
80
Growth DCF
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1200
77
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1200
HK$0.1500
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1200
80
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1200
HK$0.1500
71
10Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1100
HK$0.1300
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1600
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
HK$0.0300
HK$0.0400
HK$0.0600
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1200
77
Rev-Margin DCF
HK$0.0900
HK$0.1200
HK$0.1500
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Profitability
30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.0% (2021) → −1.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.4% a year for the price.
6063 screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Compare Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 799 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1100 versus a price of HK$0.9550, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6063?
Our model-based fair value for Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1100 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9550.
What is the quality score of 6063?
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1100 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0900, optimistic scenario HK$0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1100, about −88% upside versus a price of HK$0.9550 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0900, optimistic scenario HK$0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$226M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +53.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.5 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6063 use?
Our models discount Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd that is +53.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd grew +0.5 % a year. The price currently implies +53.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (+53.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.74 %: that much free cash flow Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1100 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9550. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 6063 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9550, fair value HK$0.1100, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6063?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1100). For Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.8450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6063?
Our models span a range for Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0900, base HK$0.1100, optimistic HK$0.1400 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price HK$0.9550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6063 from its 52-week high?
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.9550, about 33% below its 52-week high of HK$1.42 and 431% above the low of HK$0.1800 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price HK$0.9550, calculated fair value HK$0.1100 (−88%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6063 calculated?
We run Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.9550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1100, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The market capitalisation of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is HK$1.9B (≈ $243M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is 8.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The net margin of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is −1.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is −3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
The operating margin of Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is −4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Revenue at Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd is growing −17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063)?
Earnings per share at Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd are growing −35.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd (6063) hold?
Lotus Horizon Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$68.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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