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6188 (6188) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$576M

6 6188 6188 · HK
PriceHK$0.5900
Fair ValueHK$0.7694
Upside+30.4%
Quality52/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.7513 – HK$0.7916

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.31 HK$0.1710 Fair Value HK$0.7694 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1710 – HK$1.31 · fair‑value band HK$0.7513 – HK$0.7916 · the HK$0.5900 price screens below the HK$0.7694 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

6188 (6188) currently trades at HK$0.5900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7694 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 6188 generated revenue of HK$16.5B at a net margin of -8.7%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$3.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$16.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net margin -8.7%
Return on equity -10,324%
Free cash flow HK$31.4M FY2025
Operating margin -11.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) -61.5%
Net debt HK$3.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

6188 reported revenue of HK$16.5B in FY2025 versus HK$10.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.4B in FY2025.

Revenue +12.7%/yr
FY21 HK$10.2B
FY22 HK$13.5B
FY23 HK$17.1B
FY24 HK$18.0B
FY25 HK$16.5B
Net income
FY21 −HK$3.6B
FY22 −HK$276M
FY23 −HK$630M
FY24 −HK$1.4B
FY25 −HK$1.4B

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6 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ANCTF $57.91 $61.82 +7%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $761.57 $222.50 -71%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $226.06 $164.16 -27%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $467.07 $370.46 -21%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $238.57 $229.41 -4%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥56.79 ¥48.19 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 6188 (6188) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7694 versus a price of HK$0.5900 — about +30% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 6188?
Our model-based fair value for 6188 is HK$0.7694 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5900.
What is the quality score of 6188?
6188 has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 6188 (6188)?
6188 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$16.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6188?
The net profit margin of 6188 is about -8.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.