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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ANCTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $54.2B

Price$64.40
Fair Value$61.82
Upside-4.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $34.50 – $77.28

Analysis

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ANCTF) currently trades at $64.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $61.82 — implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. operates and licenses convenience stores in North America, Europe, and Asia. It offers cigarette products and other nicotine products, beverages, beer, wine, fresh food offerings comprising quick service restaurants, candy and snacks, grocery items, and car wash and other services; road transportation fuels and operates electric vehicles charging stations; sells energy for stationary engines and aviation fuels; sells lottery tickets, and calling and gift cards; and automatic teller machines. The company operates its convenience stores chain under various banners, including Circle K, Couche-Tard, Holiday, and Ingo. In addition, it operates and licenses stores operated under the Circle K banner in Egypt, Guam, Guatemala, Honduras, Indonesia, Macau, Mexico, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Tanzania, the United Arab Emirates, and Vietnam. The company was formerly known as Actidev Inc. and changed its name to Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. in December…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.