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Suzhou Zelgen Biopharmaceuticals Co (688266) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 23.9B CNY

Price¥88.23
Fair Value¥18.37
Upside-79.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥13.78 – ¥22.96

Analysis

Suzhou Zelgen Biopharmaceuticals Co (688266) currently trades at ¥88.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.37 — implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Suzhou Zelgen Biopharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and distribution of medicines in the People's Republic of China. The company offers donafenib tosylate tablets for liver cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, and metastatic radioactive iodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer; and recombinant human thrombin for hemostasis. It also develops gecacitinib hydrochloride tablets for severe alopecia areata, moderate to severe atopic dermatitis, ankylosing spondylitis, moderate to severe plaque psoriasiste, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, and myelofibrosis; recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone for injection; and ZG006 for injection, indications for small cell lung cancer, neuroendocrine carcinoma, and other advanced tumors. In addition, it develops ZG005 for injection, which is in phase I/II clinical trial for cervical cancer, liver cancer, neuroendocrine carcinoma and other advanced tumors; and ZG…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.