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8442 (8442) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$221M

8 8442 8442 · HK
PriceHK$50.30
Fair ValueHK$75.75
Upside+50.6%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$58.81 – HK$92.69

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +67.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$64.40 HK$8.34 Fair Value HK$75.75 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$8.34 – HK$64.40 · fair‑value band HK$58.81 – HK$92.69 · the HK$50.30 price screens below the HK$75.75 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8442 (8442) currently trades at HK$50.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$75.75 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2016 – FY2020 · reported fiscal years

8442 reported revenue of HK$257M in FY2020 versus HK$159M in FY2016, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.8M in FY2020, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2016.

Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY16 HK$159M
FY17 HK$166M
FY18 HK$193M
FY19 HK$204M
FY20 HK$257M
Net income −2.5%/yr
FY16 HK$17.5M
FY17 HK$6.2M
FY18 HK$23.6M
FY19 HK$18.3M
FY20 HK$15.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A IDEXY $16.18 $9.14 -44%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX C$29.33 C$12.50 -57%
Fast Retailing Co FRCOY $50.95 $19.25 -62%
6288 6288 HK$40.98 HK$15.00 -63%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $236.97 $118.41 -50%
NEXT plc NXGPF $190.69 $207.74 +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8442 (8442) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$75.75 versus a price of HK$50.30 — about +51% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8442?
Our model-based fair value for 8442 is HK$75.75 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$50.30.
What is the quality score of 8442?
8442 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of 8442?
The net profit margin of 8442 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.