Fast Retailing Co (6288) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Fast Retailing Co HK$30.82, price HK$34.60, upside -10.9%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$11.00 – HK$42.54 · fair‑value band HK$21.84 – HK$38.52 · the HK$34.60 price screens above the HK$30.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. operates as an apparel designer and retailer in Japan and internationally. The company operates through UNIQLO Japan, UNIQLO International, GU, and Global Brands segments. It manufactures and retails clothing for men, women, children, and babies.
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Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. operates as an apparel designer and retailer in Japan and internationally. The company operates through UNIQLO Japan, UNIQLO International, GU, and Global Brands segments. It manufactures and retails clothing for men, women, children, and babies. The company operates stores and franchises under the UNIQLO, GU, PLST, Theory, COMPTOIR DES COTONNIERS, J Brand, and PRINCESSE TAM.TAM brand names. It sells its products through online; and provides real estate leasing services. The company was formerly known as Ogori Shoji Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. in September 1991. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Yamaguchi, Japan.
Stock analysis
Fast Retailing Co DRC (6288) currently trades at HK$34.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$30.82, 10.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$17.65 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$34.60 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$3.69, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$21.84 (bear) to HK$38.52 (bull), the price of HK$34.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Fast Retailing Co DRC reported revenue of ¥3.4T in FY2025 versus ¥2.1T in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥433B in FY2025, compounding +26.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.3T (≈ $160B) · P/E ratio 54.6 · P/S ratio 6.96 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3936 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 20.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −11%, 6288 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$21.84Fair Value HK$30.82Bull HK$38.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.93/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.4% vs 88.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 17%
2025 sits 14,512% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 100 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−10.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20.6% · Above median
Return on assets10.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fast Retailing Co DRC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6288
Frequently asked questions
Is Fast Retailing Co (6288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$30.82 versus a price of HK$34.60, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6288?
Our model-based fair value for Fast Retailing Co DRC is HK$30.82 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$34.60.
What is the quality score of 6288?
Fast Retailing Co DRC has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$30.82 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$21.84, optimistic scenario HK$38.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fast Retailing Co DRC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$30.82, about −11% upside versus a price of HK$34.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$21.84, optimistic scenario HK$38.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Fast Retailing Co DRC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥3.7T (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Fast Retailing Co DRC pay a dividend?
Fast Retailing Co DRC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fast Retailing Co DRC it is HK$30.82 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$34.60. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fast Retailing Co DRC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 6288 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$34.60, fair value HK$30.82, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$34.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$30.82). For Fast Retailing Co DRC the two are HK$3.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fast Retailing Co DRC worth?
The market values Fast Retailing Co DRC at about HK$1.3T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$34.60; our models calculate a fair value of HK$30.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6288?
Our models span a range for Fast Retailing Co DRC: cautious scenario HK$21.84, base HK$30.82, optimistic HK$38.52 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$34.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6288?
Fast Retailing Co DRC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$30.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 6288?
The PEG ratio of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 3.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fast Retailing Co DRC (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 20.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6288 from its 52-week high?
Fast Retailing Co DRC trades at HK$34.60, about 19% below its 52-week high of HK$42.54 and 46% above the low of HK$23.66 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$30.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fast Retailing Co DRC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, Burlington Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fast Retailing Co DRC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$34.60, calculated fair value HK$30.82 (−11%), Quality Score 75/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6288 calculated?
We run Fast Retailing Co DRC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$30.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Fast Retailing Co DRC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$34.60. Our model-based fair value is HK$30.82, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fast Retailing Co DRC right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Fast Retailing Co (6288) come from?
Earnings per share at Fast Retailing Co DRC grew +24.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.3 %, EBIT margin +6.7 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Fast Retailing Co DRC
How large is the market capitalisation of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The market capitalisation of Fast Retailing Co DRC is HK$1.3T (≈ $160B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 6.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Earnings per share at Fast Retailing Co DRC are HK$0.3936 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The dividend yield of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 0.8% (payout 69.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The net margin of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 20.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
The operating margin of Fast Retailing Co DRC is 17.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Revenue at Fast Retailing Co DRC is growing +14.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fast Retailing Co (6288)?
Earnings per share at Fast Retailing Co DRC are growing +29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Fast Retailing Co (6288) generate?
The free cash flow of Fast Retailing Co DRC is ¥445B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Fast Retailing Co (6288) hold?
Fast Retailing Co DRC holds more cash than debt, ¥239B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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