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Arcosa, Inc (ACA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.1B

AI Arcosa, Inc logo Arcosa, Inc ACA · US
Price$144.92
Fair Value$65.87
Upside-54.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $43.23 – $108.80

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +14.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$145.26 $83.71 Fair Value $65.87 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $83.71 – $145.26 · fair‑value band $43.23 – $108.80 · the $144.92 price screens above the $65.87 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Arcosa, Inc (ACA) currently trades at $144.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.87 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Arcosa, Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow $176M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) $4.47
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +57.8%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Arcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and construction site support equipment, including trench shields and shoring products for residential and non-residential construction, and specialty and other products, as well as for infrastructure construction. The Engineered Structures segment offers utility structures, wind towers, traffic and lighting structures, and telecommunication structures for electricity transmission and distribution, wind power generation, highway road construction, and wireless communication markets. This segment also sells its products to contractors and distributors serving state Departments of T…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Arcosa, Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $208M in FY2025, compounding +31.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.3B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.9B
Net income +31.5%/yr
FY21 $69.6M
FY22 $246M
FY23 $159M
FY24 $93.7M
FY25 $208M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Arcosa, Inc (ACA) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $65.87 versus a price of $144.92 — about −55% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ACA?
Our 21-model fair value for Arcosa, Inc is $65.87 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $144.92.
What is the quality score of ACA?
Arcosa, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Arcosa, Inc (ACA)?
Arcosa, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACA?
The net profit margin of Arcosa, Inc is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Arcosa, Inc pay a dividend?
Arcosa, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.