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Ariston Holding (ARSTY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $5.8B

Price$15.79
Fair Value$5.43
Upside-65.6%
Quality91/100
Evidence: High Range $3.93 – $7.95

Analysis

Ariston Holding (ARSTY) currently trades at $15.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.43 — implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Ariston Holding N.V., through its subsidiaries, produces and distributes hot water and space heating solutions in the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Thermal Comfort, Burners, and Components. The company offers water heating products, such as heat pumps, electric storage and instantaneous water heaters, gas storage and instantaneous water heaters, and solar water heaters and cylinders; air handling systems for private customers, as well as for commercial and industrial applications; combustion technologies for residential heating use and industrial sector; components; and end to end support during product development, including prototyping, homologation, and certification. The company offers its products under the brands of Ariston, Elco, Wolf, ATAG, Calorex, Brink, NTI, Racold, Domotec, Chromagen, Thermowatt, and Ecoflam brands. It also sells its products online. Ariston Holding N.V. was founded in 1930 and is headquarte…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.