Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Daikin IndustriesLtd $132, price $125, upside +6.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Daikin IndustriesLtd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $97.88 – $246.95 · fair‑value band $98.23 – $165.60 · the $125.00 price screens below the $132.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Follow Daikin IndustriesLtd in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Daikin IndustriesLtd is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Daikin Industries,Ltd. manufactures, distributes, and sells air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment, and chemical products in Japan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, Europe, and internationally.
Show more
Daikin Industries,Ltd. manufactures, distributes, and sells air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment, and chemical products in Japan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, Europe, and internationally. It offers air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment products, such as split/multi-split typeair conditioners, unitary, air to water heat pump systems, heating systems, air purifiers, skyair, multi-split type air conditioners, ventilations, control systems, packaged air-conditioning systems, air cooled chillers, water cooled chillers, rooftops, air side equipment, refrigeration, containers, marine HVAC, and air filters. The company's chemical products comprises fluoropolymers, fluoropolymers coatings, additives, films, anti-smudge coating, coating resin, fluorinated oil, refrigerants, fluorinated liquids, etching agents, battery materials, fine chemicals and intermediates, optical adhesive, fluorocarbons, fluoroplastics, fluoroelastomers, fluoropaints, fluoro coating agents, semiconductor-etching products, and water and oil repellent agents. It also provides oil hydraulics products, including oil hydraulic pumps and valves, cooling equipment and systems, inverter hydraulic power units, hydrostatic transmissions. In addition, the company offers after sales services. It serves automotive, semiconductor manufacturing, electronics, energy solutions, home and living, building and construction, oil and gas, aerospace, and life sciences industries. Daikin Industries, Ltd. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) currently trades at $125.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $132.48, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.6%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $152.86 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the $125.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $33.46, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $98.23 (bear) to $165.60 (bull), the price of $125.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Daikin IndustriesLtd reported revenue of ¥5.0T in FY2026 versus ¥3.1T in FY2022, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥277B in FY2026, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $36.6B · P/E ratio 21.3 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) $5.87 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 6%, DKILF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $98.23Fair Value $132.48Bull $165.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.1% vs 7.3%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.1% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 251 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside+6.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.3% · Above median
Return on assets4.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daikin IndustriesLtd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKILF
Frequently asked questions
Is Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $132.48 versus a price of $125.00, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DKILF?
Our model-based fair value for Daikin IndustriesLtd is $132.48 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $125.00.
What is the quality score of DKILF?
Daikin IndustriesLtd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $132.48 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $98.23, optimistic scenario $165.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daikin IndustriesLtd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $132.48, about +6% upside versus a price of $125.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $98.23, optimistic scenario $165.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Daikin IndustriesLtd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.0T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Daikin IndustriesLtd pay a dividend?
Daikin IndustriesLtd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daikin IndustriesLtd would have to grow free cash flow by +7.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DKILF use?
Our models discount Daikin IndustriesLtd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daikin IndustriesLtd that is +7.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Daikin IndustriesLtd grew +15.1 % a year. The price currently implies +7.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daikin IndustriesLtd (+7.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.47 %: that much free cash flow Daikin IndustriesLtd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daikin IndustriesLtd it is $132.48 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $125.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daikin IndustriesLtd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, DKILF trades below its calculated fair value: price $125.00, fair value $132.48, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DKILF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($125.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($132.48). For Daikin IndustriesLtd the two are $7.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daikin IndustriesLtd worth?
The market values Daikin IndustriesLtd at about $36.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $125.00; our models calculate a fair value of $132.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DKILF?
Our models span a range for Daikin IndustriesLtd: cautious scenario $98.23, base $132.48, optimistic $165.60 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $125.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DKILF?
Daikin IndustriesLtd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.3 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $132.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.0, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of DKILF?
The PEG ratio of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 3.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daikin IndustriesLtd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DKILF from its 52-week high?
Daikin IndustriesLtd trades at $125.00, about 25% below its 52-week high of $165.91 and 15% above the low of $109.10 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $132.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daikin IndustriesLtd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daikin IndustriesLtd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $125.00, calculated fair value $132.48 (+6%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DKILF calculated?
We run Daikin IndustriesLtd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $132.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Daikin IndustriesLtd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $125.00. Our model-based fair value is $132.48, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daikin IndustriesLtd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) come from?
Earnings per share at Daikin IndustriesLtd grew +7.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.0 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Daikin IndustriesLtd
How large is the market capitalisation of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The market capitalisation of Daikin IndustriesLtd is $36.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Earnings per share at Daikin IndustriesLtd are $5.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The dividend yield of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 1.6% (payout 34.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The net margin of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 5.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
The operating margin of Daikin IndustriesLtd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Revenue at Daikin IndustriesLtd is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF)?
Earnings per share at Daikin IndustriesLtd are growing +2.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Daikin IndustriesLtd (DKILF) carry?
The net debt of Daikin IndustriesLtd is ¥162B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Daikin IndustriesLtd in the live analysis
One click puts Daikin IndustriesLtd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Sep 28, 2026