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Data-driven stock valuation

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. stock $1.60, price $4.19, upside -61.9%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Healthcare US · ISIN US04317A1079

AB Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.

ARTV · US
Weakest Setup

Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value $1.60 · Strongly overvalued (−61.9%)
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −50.0 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 5/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.83 $1.47 Fair Value $1.60 Jul 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $1.47 – $15.83 · fair‑value band $1.05 – $1.99 · the $4.19 price screens above the $1.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing natural killer (NK) cell-based therapies for patients suffering from autoimmune diseases and cancers.

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Its lead product candidate includes AlloNK, an off-the-shelf NK cell therapy for patients with autoimmune diseases and cancers, such as rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, lupus nephritis, rheumatoid arthritis, pemphigus vulgaris, the anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody -associated vasculitis subtypes granulomatosis with polyangiitis/microscopic polyangiitis, and B-cell-non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

The company also develops AB-201, an allogeneic anti- human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 targeting chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-NK cell product candidate for the treatment of various solid tumors, such as breast, gastric and esophageal, and bladder cancers; and AB-205, an allogeneic anti-CD5 CAR-NK cell product candidate for the treatment of hematological malignancies.

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV) currently trades at $4.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.60, 61.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.05 (bear) to $1.99 (bull), the price of $4.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $2.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$83.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $205M Micro · EPS (TTM) $−3.30 · Return on equity −36.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −41.4% · Free cash flow −$79.3M · Net cash $15.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −62%, ARTV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.05 Fair Value $1.60 Bull $1.99
Price $4.19 · Upside -61.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $1.24 $1.88 $2.34 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.24 $1.88 $2.34 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 28
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,660.9% (2021) → −26,805.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARTV screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (34 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 589 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −64.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.86× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $927.89 $1,275 +37% vs ARTV
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $540.00 $594.00 +10% vs ARTV
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,487,000 KRW 1,635,700 KRW +10% vs ARTV
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 3,912 kr 4,303 +10% vs ARTV
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.06 HK$49.57 +10% vs ARTV
argenx SE ARGX $882.48 $908.40 +3% vs ARTV
CSL Limited CSL A$200.73 A$178.58 −11% vs ARTV
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $370.33 $254.12 −31% vs ARTV
Celltrion, Inc 068270 189,300 KRW 74,945 KRW −60% vs ARTV
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $67.18 $19.01 −72% vs ARTV

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Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock · Fair Value
$1.60 −62%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARTV

Frequently asked questions

Is Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.60 versus a price of $4.19, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARTV?
Our model-based fair value for Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock is $1.60 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.19.
What is the quality score of ARTV?
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.60 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.05, optimistic scenario $1.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.60, about −62% upside versus a price of $4.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.05, optimistic scenario $1.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock it is $1.60 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $4.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, ARTV trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.19, fair value $1.60, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARTV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.60). For Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock the two are $2.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock at about $205M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $4.19; our models calculate a fair value of $1.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARTV?
Our models span a range for Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $1.05, base $1.60, optimistic $1.99 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $4.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −36.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARTV from its 52-week high?
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock trades at $4.19, about 69% below its 52-week high of $13.39 and 36% above the low of $3.07 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, argenx SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $4.19, calculated fair value $1.60 (−62%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARTV calculated?
We run Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $4.19. Our model-based fair value is $1.60, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.05 to $1.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
The market capitalisation of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock is $205M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
Earnings per share at Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock are $−3.30. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock is −36.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock is −41.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV) generate?
The free cash flow of Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock is −$79.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARTV) hold?
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $15.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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