Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd ILS 1.92, price ILS 0.84, upside +128.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.8100 ILA – 3.29 ILA · fair‑value band 1.19 ILA – 2.80 ILA · the 0.8400 ILA price screens below the 1.92 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and marketing of spun melt nonwoven materials worldwide. Its products have applications in the adult hygiene, baby care, construction, feminine hygiene, filtration, industrial, medical, and transportation sectors.
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Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and marketing of spun melt nonwoven materials worldwide. Its products have applications in the adult hygiene, baby care, construction, feminine hygiene, filtration, industrial, medical, and transportation sectors. Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel. Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is a subsidiary of Indorama Ventures Spain S.L.
Stock analysis
Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) currently trades at 0.8400 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.92 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3.17 ILA per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the 0.8400 ILA price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.9200 ILA, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.19 ILA (bear) to 2.80 ILA (bull), the price of 0.8400 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd reported revenue of $406M in FY2025 versus $471M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 249M ILA · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 ILA · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity −1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Operating margin 5.0% · Revenue (TTM) $390M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 129%, AVGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.19 ILAFair Value 1.92 ILABull 2.80 ILA
Price 0.8400 ILA · Upside +128.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.4% (2020) → 4.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.7% a year for the price.
Compare Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside+128.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.92 ILA versus a price of 0.8400 ILA, about +129% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVGL?
Our model-based fair value for Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is 1.92 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.8400 ILA.
What is the quality score of AVGL?
Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.92 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.19 ILA, optimistic scenario 2.80 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.92 ILA, about +129% upside versus a price of 0.8400 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.19 ILA, optimistic scenario 2.80 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $390M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.2 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AVGL use?
Our models discount Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd that is +15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd grew +1.2 % a year. The price currently implies +15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (+15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.82 %: that much free cash flow Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd it is 1.92 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 0.8400 ILA. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, AVGL trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.8400 ILA, fair value 1.92 ILA, a gap of about +129% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.8400 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.92 ILA). For Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd the two are 1.08 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd worth?
The market values Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd at about 249M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.8400 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 1.92 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVGL?
Our models span a range for Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd: cautious scenario 1.19 ILA, base 1.92 ILA, optimistic 2.80 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 0.8400 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −1.6%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVGL from its 52-week high?
Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd trades at 0.8400 ILA, about 44% below its 52-week high of 1.50 ILA and 4% above the low of 0.8100 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.92 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 0.8400 ILA, calculated fair value 1.92 ILA (+129%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVGL calculated?
We run Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.92 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.8400 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 1.92 ILA, about +129% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.19 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1.19 ILA to 2.80 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The market capitalisation of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is 249M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is 0.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Earnings per share at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd are −0.0300 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The net margin of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
The operating margin of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Revenue at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is growing +10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL)?
Earnings per share at Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd are growing +601% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd (AVGL) carry?
The net debt of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is $125M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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