BCF (BCF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap 925M ZAC
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R12.50 – R15.99 · fair‑value band R13.66 – R30.31 · the R13.99 price screens below the R20.95 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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BCF (BCF) currently trades at R13.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R20.95 — implying the stock looks roughly 49.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, BCF generated revenue of 984M ZAR at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 226M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BCF reported revenue of R946M in FY2025 versus R636M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was R122M in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $41.28 | $40.96 | -1% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $216.64 | $122.66 | -43% |
| International Paper Company IP | $33.83 | $70.52 | +108% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $37.64 | $18.34 | -51% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$146.83 | R$18.44 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.