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Bolloré SE (BOIVF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bolloré SE $2.37, price $4.01, upside -40.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Bolloré SE
BOIVF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $2.37 · Strongly overvalued (−40.9%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −29.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.01 – $6.74 · fair‑value band $1.78 – $3.01 · the $4.01 price screens above the $2.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Bolloré SE engages in the transportation and logistics, communications, and industry businesses in France, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and Africa. The company operates through Bolloré Energy, Communications, and Industry segments.
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Bolloré SE engages in the transportation and logistics, communications, and industry businesses in France, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and Africa. The company operates through Bolloré Energy, Communications, and Industry segments. It is involved in distribution and warehousing of oil products, as well as domestic fuel oil and transport and other diesel. The company also engages in the publishing and distribution of pay and free TV and production; sale and distribution of cinema films and TV series; design and release of downloadable video games on mobile devices and consoles; ticketing and venue services; communications consulting and advertising agencies; magazine sales; sales of goods and circulation of publications; travel retail sales; and sales of licenses and subscription services. In addition, it is involved in production and sale of electric batteries and their applications; and electric vehicles, and electricity storage and solutions and films. The company was founded in 1822 and is based in Puteaux, France. Bolloré SE operates as a subsidiary of Compagnie de l'Odet.
Stock analysis
Bolloré SE (BOIVF) currently trades at $4.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.37, 40.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $6.50 per share, and 5 of the 18 models we run sit above the $4.01 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9000, and 13 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.78 (bear) to $3.01 (bull), the price of $4.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Bolloré SE reported revenue of €2.9B in FY2025 versus €16.6B in FY2021, a compound −35.3%/yr. Reported net income was €348M in FY2025, compounding −51.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $17.4B · P/E ratio 28.6 · P/S ratio 3.41 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −41%, BOIVF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.78
Fair Value $2.37
Bull $3.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0454 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$3.26
$3.73
$4.61
82
Growth DCF
$3.32
$3.78
$4.56
80
Owner Earnings
$3.64
$4.26
$5.40
78
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$3.26
$3.73
$4.61
82
Owner Earnings
$3.64
$4.26
$5.40
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$3.13
$3.61
$4.30
74
5Y P/E Exit
$3.74
$4.65
$5.74
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$3.15
$3.51
$3.89
68
10Y P/E Exit
$3.54
$4.15
$4.74
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.9500
$1.16
$1.30
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.8200
$0.9000
$1.02
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.8200
$1.03
$1.32
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.30
$3.07
$3.83
63
P/S Multiple
$1.78
$2.37
$2.96
58
P/B Multiple
$1.78
$2.37
$2.96
55
EV/Revenue
$3.14
$3.60
$4.06
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.85
$6.50
$9.70
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$3.32
$3.78
$4.56
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$3.13
$3.64
$4.26
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.78
$6.50
$6.38
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.62
$2.32
$3.01
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Profitability
20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
59
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
’14
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’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.1% vs −2.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.1% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.7%
BOIVF screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- Bolloré : First-half 2026 results
- Bolloré : Bluebus: Envisaged discontinuation of e-bus production | Blue Solutions: Fourth-generation battery strategy refocus plan
- A Look At Bolloré (ENXTPA:BOL) Valuation After Approval Of Exceptional €1.50 Dividend
- Bolloré : Combined General Meeting of May 27, 2026
Compare Bolloré SE with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $69.58 | $76.54 | +10% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $104.90 | $101.23 | −3% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $30.86 | $13.47 | −56% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $170.87 | $48.93 | −71% |
| TKO Group TKO | $182.67 | $69.66 | −62% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.59 | €16.05 | +10% |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $56.54 | $65.92 | +17% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $94.61 | $104.07 | +10% |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $152.67 | $42.86 | −72% |
| News Corporation NWS | $31.75 | $17.05 | −46% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bolloré SE (BOIVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.37 versus a price of $4.01, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOIVF?
Our model-based fair value for Bolloré SE is $2.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.01.
What is the quality score of BOIVF?
Bolloré SE has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.78, optimistic scenario $3.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bolloré SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.37, about −41% upside versus a price of $4.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.78, optimistic scenario $3.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Bolloré SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Bolloré SE pay a dividend?
Bolloré SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bolloré SE would have to grow free cash flow by +2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -29.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BOIVF use?
Our models discount Bolloré SE at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bolloré SE that is +2.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bolloré SE (BOIVF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bolloré SE grew -29.4 % a year. The price currently implies +2.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bolloré SE (BOIVF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bolloré SE (+2.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.80 %: that much free cash flow Bolloré SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bolloré SE it is $2.37 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $4.01. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bolloré SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BOIVF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.01, fair value $2.37, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BOIVF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.37). For Bolloré SE the two are $1.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bolloré SE worth?
The market values Bolloré SE at about $17.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $4.01; our models calculate a fair value of $2.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BOIVF?
Our models span a range for Bolloré SE: cautious scenario $1.78, base $2.37, optimistic $3.01 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $4.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BOIVF?
Bolloré SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bolloré SE (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BOIVF from its 52-week high?
Bolloré SE trades at $4.01, about 38% below its 52-week high of $6.51 and at the low of $4.01 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bolloré SE?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bolloré SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $4.01, calculated fair value $2.37 (−41%), Quality Score 56/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BOIVF calculated?
We run Bolloré SE through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bolloré SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.01. Our model-based fair value is $2.37, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bolloré SE right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Bolloré SE (BOIVF) come from?
Earnings per share at Bolloré SE grew +11.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.0 %, EBIT margin −3.5 %, tax rate +4.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bolloré SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The market capitalisation of Bolloré SE is $17.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bolloré SE is 3.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Earnings per share at Bolloré SE are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The dividend yield of Bolloré SE is 2.0% (payout 57.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The net margin of Bolloré SE is 11.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bolloré SE is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bolloré SE is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
The operating margin of Bolloré SE is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Revenue at Bolloré SE is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −40.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bolloré SE (BOIVF)?
Earnings per share at Bolloré SE are growing −93.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bolloré SE (BOIVF) hold?
Bolloré SE holds more cash than debt, €5.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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