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Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) Fair Value & Analysis

Information Technology · IN · Market cap ₹18.1B (≈ $190M) · ISIN INE016Q01014

CT Ceinsys Tech Ltd CEINSYSTECH · BSE
Price₹727.25
Fair Value₹586.06
Upside-19.4%
Quality44/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 77/100

Risks

!Trades 24% ABOVE our fair value of ₹586.06
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.2 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Weak on valuation: 7 out of 100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range ₹439.36 – ₹736.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Below-average quality, and trading another 24% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ₹439.36 (bear) to ₹736.52 (bull), base ₹586.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,007 ₹114.86 Fair Value ₹586.06 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹114.86 – ₹2,007 · fair‑value band ₹439.36 – ₹736.52 · the ₹727.25 price screens above the ₹586.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) currently trades at ₹727.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹586.06, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ceinsys Tech Ltd generated revenue of ₹6.3B at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 52.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.3%. Net debt stands at ₹282M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹439.36 (bear case) to ₹736.52 (bull case); at ₹727.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -19%, CEINSYSTECH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹236.33 ₹326.39 ₹1,171 76
ROIC Compounder ₹443.24 ₹669.04 ₹846.69 72
Gordon GGM ₹21.00 ₹43.66 ₹69.26 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹311.23 ₹699.92 ₹1,516 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹241.03 ₹1,681 ₹2,359 54
Lynch FV ₹522.05 ₹745.79 ₹969.52 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹522.05 ₹745.79 ₹969.52 46
EPV ₹357.91 ₹416.48 ₹467.72 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹21.00 ₹43.66 ₹69.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹21.00 ₹36.81 ₹45.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹744.37 ₹992.49 ₹1,241 63
P/S Multiple ₹451.94 ₹602.58 ₹753.23 58
P/B Multiple ₹451.94 ₹602.58 ₹753.23 55
EV/EBIT ₹756.96 ₹1,007 ₹1,257 53
EV/EBITDA ₹631.55 ₹839.89 ₹1,048 54
EV/Revenue ₹385.92 ₹548.51 ₹711.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹115.43 ₹154.68 ₹230.87 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹236.33 ₹326.39 ₹1,171 76
ROIC Compounder ₹443.24 ₹669.04 ₹846.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹802.04 ₹1,146 ₹1,490 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,146) versus Dividend Discount (₹36.81). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.2
P/S ratio 1.85 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹59.61 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2
Net margin 15.1% FY2025
Return on equity 23.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 21.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹6.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.0% 3y avg +27.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹312M FY2025
Net debt ₹282M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ceinsys Tech Ltd reported revenue of ₹4.2B in FY2025 versus ₹1.9B in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹632M in FY2025, compounding +137.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹4.2B
Latest YoY
+65.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+63.6% (63.6 + 0.0)
Revenue +22.6%/yr
FY21 ₹1.9B
FY22 ₹2.0B
FY23 ₹2.2B
FY24 ₹2.5B
FY25 ₹4.2B
Net income +137.3%/yr
FY21 ₹19.9M
FY22 ₹91.9M
FY23 ₹309M
FY24 ₹350M
FY25 ₹632M

CEINSYSTECH screens 19% overvalued. Compare with 532755 →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ceinsys Tech Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEINSYSTECH

Peer Group

IT Services · 37 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs IT Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.86× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE7 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST93 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND5 · sector 5

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more IT Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
532755 532755 ₹1,586 ₹922.45 -42%
BLUECLOUDS BLUECLOUDS ₹22.11 ₹16.20 -27%
DANLAW DANLAW ₹1,387 ₹943.97 -32%
ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc CNTM $4.50 $7.60 +69%
SOFTSOL SOFTSOL ₹193.45 ₹69.00 -64%
ITCONS ITCONS ₹251.00 ₹104.00 -59%
ALPHALOGIC ALPHALOGIC ₹42.22 ₹13.55 -68%
CNINFOTECH CNINFOTECH ₹88.53 ₹138.32 +56%
Data Storage Corporation DTSTW $0.0771 $0.0776 +1%
CRESSAN CRESSAN ₹2.13 ₹0.7300 -66%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹586.06 versus a price of ₹727.25, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CEINSYSTECH?
Our model-based fair value for Ceinsys Tech Ltd is ₹586.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹727.25.
What is the quality score of CEINSYSTECH?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CEINSYSTECH?
The net profit margin of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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