Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Ceinsys Tech Ltd ₹586, price ₹656, upside -10.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹125.46 – ₹2,007 · fair‑value band ₹439.36 – ₹736.52 · the ₹655.55 price screens above the ₹586.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) currently trades at ₹655.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹586.06, 10.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,146 per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹655.55 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹154.68, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹439.36 (bear) to ₹736.52 (bull), the price of ₹655.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ceinsys Tech Ltd reported revenue of ₹4.2B in FY2025 versus ₹1.9B in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹632M in FY2025, compounding +137.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹18.1B (≈ $187M) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.66 · EPS (TTM) ₹59.61 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 23.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −11%, CEINSYSTECH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹439.36Fair Value ₹586.06Bull ₹736.52
Price ₹655.55 · Upside -10.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹59.61 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income₹208.84₹251.30₹367.9775
EPV₹270.07₹301.69₹327.3674
Owner Earnings₹235.83₹456.95₹842.8673
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings₹235.83₹456.95₹842.8673
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd₹241.03₹1,681₹2,35963
Lynch FV₹522.05₹745.79₹969.5261
PEG = 1.0₹522.05₹745.79₹969.5257
EPV₹270.07₹301.69₹327.3674
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM₹15.93₹26.68₹34.6368
DDM Multi-Stage₹15.93₹25.31₹28.7067
Multiples
P/E Multiple₹744.37₹992.49₹1,24163
P/S Multiple₹451.94₹602.58₹753.2358
P/B Multiple₹451.94₹602.58₹753.2355
EV/EBIT₹756.96₹1,007₹1,25766
EV/EBITDA₹631.55₹839.89₹1,04867
EV/Revenue₹385.92₹548.51₹711.1053
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)₹115.43₹154.68₹230.8754
Economic Profit
Residual Income₹208.84₹251.30₹367.9775
ROIC Compounder₹293.47₹383.49₹452.2072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E₹802.04₹1,146₹1,49067
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+65.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+69.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+69.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 18%
2025 sits 81% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.IT Services · 29 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−10.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)21.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth52.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs IT Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹586.06 versus a price of ₹655.55, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CEINSYSTECH?
Our model-based fair value for Ceinsys Tech Ltd is ₹586.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹655.55.
What is the quality score of CEINSYSTECH?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹586.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹439.36, optimistic scenario ₹736.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ceinsys Tech Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹586.06, about −11% upside versus a price of ₹655.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹439.36, optimistic scenario ₹736.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Ceinsys Tech Ltd pay a dividend?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ceinsys Tech Ltd it is ₹586.06 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹655.55. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ceinsys Tech Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, CEINSYSTECH trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹655.55, fair value ₹586.06, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEINSYSTECH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹655.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹586.06). For Ceinsys Tech Ltd the two are ₹69.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ceinsys Tech Ltd worth?
The market values Ceinsys Tech Ltd at about ₹18.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹655.55; our models calculate a fair value of ₹586.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEINSYSTECH?
Our models span a range for Ceinsys Tech Ltd: cautious scenario ₹439.36, base ₹586.06, optimistic ₹736.52 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹655.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEINSYSTECH?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹586.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ceinsys Tech Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 23.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEINSYSTECH from its 52-week high?
Ceinsys Tech Ltd trades at ₹655.55, about 57% below its 52-week high of ₹1,509 and 1% above the low of ₹649.30 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹586.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ceinsys Tech Ltd?
From the same area (Information Technology) we also value BLUECLOUDS, SANCODE, ACESOFT, SOFTSOL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ceinsys Tech Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹655.55, calculated fair value ₹586.06 (−11%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEINSYSTECH calculated?
We run Ceinsys Tech Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹586.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ceinsys Tech Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ₹655.55. Our model-based fair value is ₹586.06, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ceinsys Tech Ltd right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Ceinsys Tech Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The market capitalisation of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is ₹18.1B (≈ $187M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 1.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Earnings per share at Ceinsys Tech Ltd are ₹59.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The dividend yield of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 0.2% (payout 2.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The net margin of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
The operating margin of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is 21.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Revenue at Ceinsys Tech Ltd is growing +52.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH)?
Earnings per share at Ceinsys Tech Ltd are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) generate?
The free cash flow of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is −₹312M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) carry?
The net debt of Ceinsys Tech Ltd is ₹282M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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