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Chevron Corporation (CHEV) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$499B

CC Chevron Corporation CHEV · NEO
PriceC$22.88
Fair ValueC$7.97
Upside-65.2%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: High Range C$5.62 – C$11.14

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from C$11.29 to C$7.97 (−29.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −6.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$27.19 C$18.13 Fair Value C$7.97 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$18.13 – C$27.19 · fair‑value band C$5.62 – C$11.14 · the C$22.88 price screens above the C$7.97 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Chevron Corporation (CHEV) currently trades at C$22.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$7.97 — implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Net debt stands at C$33.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 24.3. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow C$16.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
Net debt C$33.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment is involved in the exploration, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; and processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas, as well as a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was formerly known as …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chevron Corporation reported revenue of C$184B in FY2025 versus C$156B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$12.3B in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 C$156B
FY22 C$236B
FY23 C$197B
FY24 C$193B
FY25 C$184B
Net income −5.8%/yr
FY21 C$15.6B
FY22 C$35.5B
FY23 C$21.4B
FY24 C$17.7B
FY25 C$12.3B

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $138.47 $90.37 -35%
PetroChina Company PCCYF $1.17 $1.39 +19%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR 25,340 ARS 53,847 ARS +112%
Shell plc RYDAF $39.95 $46.04 +15%
TotalEnergies SE TTE $80.67 $73.21 -9%
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, B1PP34 R$55.74 R$20.00 -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chevron Corporation (CHEV) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$7.97 versus a price of C$22.88 — about −65% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CHEV?
Our model-based fair value for Chevron Corporation is C$7.97 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$22.88.
What is the quality score of CHEV?
Chevron Corporation has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of CHEV?
The net profit margin of Chevron Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.