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PetroChina Company (PCCYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what PetroChina Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Energy · US · ISIN CNE1000003W8

PC PetroChina Company logo Some data Sep 13, 2026

PetroChina Company

PCCYF · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $1.60 · Undervalued (+31%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.50 $0.0584 Fair Value $1.60 Oct 2016 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0584 – $1.50 · fair‑value band $1.05 – $1.94 · the $1.23 price screens below the $1.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

PetroChina Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in a range of petroleum related products, services, and activities in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through the Oil and Gas and New Energy; Refining, Chemicals and New Materials; Sales; and Natural Gas Sales Segments.

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PetroChina Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in a range of petroleum related products, services, and activities in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through the Oil and Gas and New Energy; Refining, Chemicals and New Materials; Sales; and Natural Gas Sales Segments. The Oil, Gas and New Energy Resource segment engages in the exploration, development, transportation, production, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas, as well as is involved in the new energy resource business. The Refining, Chemicals and New Materials segment refines crude oil and petroleum products; and produces and markets primary petrochemical products, derivative chemical products, and other chemical products; as well as engages in new materials business. The Sales segment is involved in the marketing of refined and non-oil products, and trading business. The Natural Gas Sales segment engages in the transmission and sale of natural gas. It is also involved in the exploration, development, and production of oil sands and coalbed methane; trading of crude oil and petrochemical products; investment in refining; storage, chemical engineering, storage facilities, service station, and transportation facilities and related businesses; chemical technology development; and provision of technology transfer and technical services. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. PetroChina Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation.

Stock analysis

PetroChina Company (PCCYF) currently trades at $1.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.60, implying the stock looks roughly 23.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $11.36 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1.23 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.52, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.05 (bear) to $1.94 (bull), the price of $1.23 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

PetroChina Company reported revenue of 2.9T CNY in FY2025 versus 2.6T CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 157B CNY in FY2025, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $288B · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) $0.1300 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% · Operating margin 9.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 31%, PCCYF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.05 Fair Value $1.60 Bull $1.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $6.58 $10.64 $17.33 79
Growth DCF $6.68 $10.23 $15.69 78
Owner Earnings $5.46 $8.80 $14.28 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.58 $10.64 $17.33 79
Owner Earnings $5.46 $8.80 $14.28 75
5Y Revenue Exit $8.41 $14.19 $21.73 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.86 $13.13 $19.39 74
5Y P/E Exit $6.61 $10.75 $15.16 70
10Y Revenue Exit $7.43 $12.68 $20.06 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.37 $11.92 $18.19 67
10Y P/E Exit $6.55 $10.20 $14.82 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.55 $15.62 $20.97 64
Lynch FV $3.60 $5.15 $6.69 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.60 $5.15 $6.69 57
EPV $8.28 $9.69 $10.94 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.10 $8.96 $15.08 65
DDM Multi-Stage $4.10 $7.25 $9.34 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.02 $9.36 $11.70 63
P/S Multiple $8.52 $11.36 $14.21 58
P/B Multiple $8.52 $11.36 $14.21 55
EV/EBIT $8.02 $10.58 $13.15 66
EV/EBITDA $9.41 $12.44 $15.47 67
EV/Revenue $9.66 $13.66 $17.67 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.37 $4.52 $6.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.68 $10.23 $15.69 78
Rev-Margin DCF $8.41 $14.09 $20.77 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.04 $6.72 $10.16 75
ROIC Compounder $8.73 $11.37 $14.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.37 $9.10 $11.84 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+28.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28% vs 16%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 8%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.

Compare PetroChina Company with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 53 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +50% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 37.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.18× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 26.14 SAR 20.14 SAR −23%
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $165.99 $88.98 −46%
Chevron Corporation CVX $214.06 $90.66 −58%
Shell plc SHELL €41.42 €39.73 −4%
TotalEnergies SE TOTB €78.69 €69.11 −12%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A XPBRA €7.99 €2.20 −72%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.52 ¥4.67 −15%
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 415.50 kr 339.91 −18%
Eni S.p.A ENI €24.00 €13.10 −45%
Suncor Energy Inc SU C$95.30 C$104.83 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PetroChina Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCCYF

Frequently asked questions

Is PetroChina Company (PCCYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.60 versus a price of $1.23, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PCCYF?
Our model-based fair value for PetroChina Company is $1.60 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.23.
What is the quality score of PCCYF?
PetroChina Company has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.60 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.05, optimistic scenario $1.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PetroChina Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.60, about +31% upside versus a price of $1.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.05, optimistic scenario $1.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
PetroChina Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8T (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PetroChina Company it is $1.60 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $1.23. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PetroChina Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PCCYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.23, fair value $1.60, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCCYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.60). For PetroChina Company the two are $0.3750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PetroChina Company worth?
The market values PetroChina Company at about $288B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $1.23; our models calculate a fair value of $1.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCCYF?
Our models span a range for PetroChina Company: cautious scenario $1.05, base $1.60, optimistic $1.94 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $1.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PCCYF?
PetroChina Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.60 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1.
What is the PEG ratio of PCCYF?
The PEG ratio of PetroChina Company is 0.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for PetroChina Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCCYF from its 52-week high?
PetroChina Company trades at $1.23, about 21% below its 52-week high of $1.54 and 57% above the low of $0.7796 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PetroChina Company?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, Shell plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PetroChina Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $1.23, calculated fair value $1.60 (+31%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCCYF calculated?
We run PetroChina Company through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. PetroChina Company currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with PetroChina Company right now?
Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.05 to $1.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of PetroChina Company (PCCYF) come from?
Earnings per share at PetroChina Company grew +13.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +5.0 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of PetroChina Company

How large is the market capitalisation of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
The market capitalisation of PetroChina Company is $288B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PetroChina Company is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Earnings per share at PetroChina Company are $0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
The net margin of PetroChina Company is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PetroChina Company is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PetroChina Company is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
The operating margin of PetroChina Company is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Revenue at PetroChina Company is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PetroChina Company (PCCYF)?
Earnings per share at PetroChina Company are growing +1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PetroChina Company (PCCYF) generate?
The free cash flow of PetroChina Company is $120B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PetroChina Company (PCCYF) carry?
The net debt of PetroChina Company is $75.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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