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Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc (CNTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $6.2B

Price$40.50
Fair Value$15.32
Upside-62.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $11.49 – $19.15

Analysis

Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc (CNTA) currently trades at $40.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc, together with its subsidiaries, discovers, develops, and delivers orexin-based neuroscience therapeutics in the United Kingdom and the United States. The company develops ORX750, an orexin receptor 2 agonist, which is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of central disorders of hypersomnolence, including narcolepsy type 1 and 2, as well as idiopathic hypersomnia. It also engages in the development of ORX142 which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of neurological and neurodegenerative disorders; ORX489 which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of neuropsychiatric disorders; and LockBody, an early-stage immuno-oncology program technology platform. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Altrincham, the United Kingdom.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.