Continental AG PK (CTTAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Continental AG PK $7.68, price $7.68, upside +0.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.80 – $12.51 · fair‑value band $5.54 – $11.28 · the $7.68 price screens below the $7.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Continental manufactures tire and develops and produces solutions for automotive manufacturers, industrial, and end customers worldwide. It provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel, and specialist vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems; and engages in the retail of tires.
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Continental manufactures tire and develops and produces solutions for automotive manufacturers, industrial, and end customers worldwide. It provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel, and specialist vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems; and engages in the retail of tires. The company also develops solutions for industrial applications made from rubber, metal, and textiles; hoses, conveyor belts, air springs, and drive belts; and surface materials for energy, mining, agriculture, construction, as well as interior and exterior design, and automotive sectors. The company was formerly known as Continental-Caoutchouc- und Gutta-Percha Compagnie. Continental was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Hanover, Germany.
Stock analysis
Continental AG PK (CTTAY) currently trades at $7.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.68, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $13.99 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the $7.68 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.48, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.54 (bear) to $11.28 (bull), the price of $7.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Continental AG PK reported revenue of €19.7B in FY2025 versus €33.8B in FY2021, a compound −12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€165M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $15.4B · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2500 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity −4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 9.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 0%, CTTAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.54Fair Value $7.68Bull $11.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.8% (2020) → 7.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.8% a year for the price and −1.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 665 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+58.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.08× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Continental AG PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTTAY
Frequently asked questions
Is Continental AG PK (CTTAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.68 versus a price of $7.68, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CTTAY?
Our model-based fair value for Continental AG PK is $7.68 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.68.
What is the quality score of CTTAY?
Continental AG PK has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.68 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.54, optimistic scenario $11.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Continental AG PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.68, about +0% upside versus a price of $7.68 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $5.54, optimistic scenario $11.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Continental AG PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Continental AG PK pay a dividend?
Continental AG PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Continental AG PK would have to grow free cash flow by +7.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.2 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTTAY use?
Our models discount Continental AG PK at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Continental AG PK that is +7.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Continental AG PK (CTTAY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Continental AG PK grew -12.2 % a year. The price currently implies +7.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Continental AG PK (CTTAY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Continental AG PK (+7.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.89 %: that much free cash flow Continental AG PK produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Continental AG PK it is $7.68 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of $7.68. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Continental AG PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, CTTAY trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.68, fair value $7.68, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTTAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.68). For Continental AG PK the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Continental AG PK worth?
The market values Continental AG PK at about $15.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is $7.68; our models calculate a fair value of $7.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTTAY?
Our models span a range for Continental AG PK: cautious scenario $5.54, base $7.68, optimistic $11.28 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price $7.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CTTAY?
The PEG ratio of Continental AG PK is 5.90 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Continental AG PK (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −4.4%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTTAY from its 52-week high?
Continental AG PK trades at $7.68, about 10% below its 52-week high of $8.58 and 28% above the low of $5.99 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Continental AG PK?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Continental AG PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price $7.68, calculated fair value $7.68 (+0%), Quality Score 50/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTTAY calculated?
We run Continental AG PK through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Continental AG PK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $7.68. Our model-based fair value is $7.68, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Continental AG PK right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($5.54 to $11.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Continental AG PK (CTTAY) come from?
Earnings per share at Continental AG PK grew −9.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −17.8 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Continental AG PK
How large is the market capitalisation of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The market capitalisation of Continental AG PK is $15.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Continental AG PK is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Earnings per share at Continental AG PK are $−0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The dividend yield of Continental AG PK is 3.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The net margin of Continental AG PK is −0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Continental AG PK is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Continental AG PK is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
The operating margin of Continental AG PK is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Revenue at Continental AG PK is growing −10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Continental AG PK (CTTAY)?
Earnings per share at Continental AG PK are growing +194% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Continental AG PK (CTTAY) carry?
The net debt of Continental AG PK is €5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 1, 2026