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Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Concord New Energy Group $0.04, price $0.04, upside +4.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · ISIN BMG2345T1099

CN Concord New Energy Group logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Concord New Energy Group

CWPWF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0417 · Fairly valued (+4.3%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.0882 $0.0035 Fair Value $0.0417 Jun 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0035 – $0.0882 · fair‑value band $0.0374 – $0.0503 · the $0.0400 price screens below the $0.0417 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments.

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Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments. The Power generation segment is involved in the operation of wind and solar power plants, investing in power plants, and generating electric power for sale to external power grid companies. The Others segment provides design, technical and consultancy services, undertaking electrical engineering and construction of power plant projects, and stock finance lease services. It also engages in the operation and investment of wind power plants and photovoltaic power plants, as well as sale of solar power equipment and new energy equipment. The company was formerly known as China Windpower Group Limited and changed its name to Concord New Energy Group Limited in March 2015. Concord New Energy Group Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) currently trades at $0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0417, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.1100 per share, and 7 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.0400 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 5 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0374 (bear) to $0.0503 (bull), the price of $0.0400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Concord New Energy Group reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 136M CNY in FY2025, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $314M · P/S ratio 0.13 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 22.1% · Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −8.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 4%, CWPWF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0374 Fair Value $0.0417 Bull $0.0503
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.1100 $0.1000 $0.1000 76
Gordon GGM $0.0400 $0.0700 $0.0900 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0700 67
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0200 $0.0800 $0.1100 64
Lynch FV $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0400 $0.0700 $0.0900 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0700 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 63
P/S Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 57
P/B Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 54
EV/EBITDA n/a $0.0700 $0.1500 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1100 $0.1000 $0.1000 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−25.1% vs −9.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 31%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +28.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Return on assets 1.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 22.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.92× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.45 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%
GD Power Development Co 600795 ¥5.34 ¥5.99 +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Concord New Energy Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CWPWF

Frequently asked questions

Is Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0417 versus a price of $0.0400, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CWPWF?
Our model-based fair value for Concord New Energy Group is $0.0417 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0400.
What is the quality score of CWPWF?
Concord New Energy Group has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0417 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0374, optimistic scenario $0.0503. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Concord New Energy Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0417, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.0400 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0374, optimistic scenario $0.0503. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Concord New Energy Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Concord New Energy Group it is $0.0417 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0400. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Concord New Energy Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CWPWF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0400, fair value $0.0417, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CWPWF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0417). For Concord New Energy Group the two are $0.0017 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Concord New Energy Group worth?
The market values Concord New Energy Group at about $314M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0400; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0417 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CWPWF?
Our models span a range for Concord New Energy Group: cautious scenario $0.0374, base $0.0417, optimistic $0.0503 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Concord New Energy Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 1.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CWPWF from its 52-week high?
Concord New Energy Group trades at $0.0400, about 7% below its 52-week high of $0.0430 and 100% above the low of $0.0200 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0417 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Concord New Energy Group?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Concord New Energy Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0400, calculated fair value $0.0417 (+4%), Quality Score 39/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CWPWF calculated?
We run Concord New Energy Group through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0417, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Concord New Energy Group currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0400. Our model-based fair value is $0.0417, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Concord New Energy Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) come from?
Earnings per share at Concord New Energy Group grew +6.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.7 %, EBIT margin +13.3 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Concord New Energy Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The market capitalisation of Concord New Energy Group is $314M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Concord New Energy Group is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The net margin of Concord New Energy Group is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Concord New Energy Group is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Concord New Energy Group is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
The operating margin of Concord New Energy Group is 22.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Revenue at Concord New Energy Group is growing −8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF)?
Earnings per share at Concord New Energy Group are growing −42.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) generate?
The free cash flow of Concord New Energy Group is −700M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Concord New Energy Group (CWPWF) carry?
The net debt of Concord New Energy Group is 17.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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