Adani Green Energy Limited (ADANIGREEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IN · Market cap ₹2.5T
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹213.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹462.20 – ₹2,971 · fair‑value band ₹127.87 – ₹213.12 · the ₹1,372 price screens above the ₹170.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Adani Green Energy Limited (ADANIGREEN) currently trades at ₹1,372, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹170.50, implying the stock looks roughly 87.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Adani Green Energy Limited generated revenue of ₹130B at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at ₹997B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹127.87 (bear case) to ₹213.12 (bull case); at ₹1,372, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -88%, ADANIGREEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹438.68) versus Dividend Discount (₹19.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Adani Green Energy Limited generates and supplies renewable energy to central and state government entities and government backed corporations in India. The company develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains power plants through renewable sources, such as solar, wind, and hybrid.
Full company description
Adani Green Energy Limited generates and supplies renewable energy to central and state government entities and government backed corporations in India. The company develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains power plants through renewable sources, such as solar, wind, and hybrid. It operates solar power plants with an operational capacity of 10,103 megawatts (MW); wind power plants with an operational capacity of 2,140 MW; and hybrid power plants with an operational capacity of 2,140 MW. Adani Green Energy Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Adani Green Energy Limited reported revenue of ₹129B in FY2026 versus ₹51.4B in FY2022, a compound +25.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹16.5B in FY2026, compounding +35.6%/yr from FY2022.
ADANIGREEN screens 88% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.23 | ¥16.63 | +17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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