VERBUND AG (OEWA) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · DE · Market cap €20.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €61.95 to €66.19 (+6.8%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€31.09 to €88.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from €31.09 (bear) to €88.10 (bull), base €66.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €53.86 – €93.51 · fair‑value band €31.09 – €88.10 · the €58.55 price screens below the €66.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
VERBUND AG (OEWA) currently trades at €58.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €66.19, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, VERBUND AG generated revenue of €7.7B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue declined 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at €2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €31.09 (bear case) to €88.10 (bull case); at €58.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 13%, OEWA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€76.38) versus Asset-Based (€19.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
VERBUND AG, together with its subsidiaries, generates, trades, and sells electricity in Austria, Germany, France, Romania, Spain, and Luxembourg. It operates through Hydro, New Renewables, Sales, Grid, and All Other segments.
Full company description
VERBUND AG, together with its subsidiaries, generates, trades, and sells electricity in Austria, Germany, France, Romania, Spain, and Luxembourg. It operates through Hydro, New Renewables, Sales, Grid, and All Other segments. The company engages in the generation of hydropower, wind power, photovoltaic systems, and flexible storage systems; trading and sale activities, and business activities related to battery storage systems; electricity and thermal generation; and holds equity interests. It also offers electricity, gas, e-mobility, and large-scale photovoltaic systems. The company serves participants in energy exchange markets, traders, electric utilities, industrial companies, and household and commercial customers. VERBUND AG was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VERBUND AG reported revenue of €8.0B in FY2025 versus €4.8B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was €1.5B in FY2025, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.23 | ¥16.63 | +17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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