Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Dawson Geophysical Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9393 – $7.57 · fair‑value band $1.71 – $3.49 · the $3.36 price screens above the $2.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Dawson Geophysical Company engages in providing onshore seismic data acquisition and processing services in the United States and Canada.
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Dawson Geophysical Company engages in providing onshore seismic data acquisition and processing services in the United States and Canada. The company acquires and processes 2-D, 3-D, and multi-component seismic data for its clients, including oil and gas companies, and independent oil and gas operators, as well as providers of multi-client data libraries and carbon capture sequestration projects. Its seismic data acquisition crews supply seismic data primarily to companies engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas on land and in land-to-water transition areas, as well as potash mining industry. The company was founded in 1952 and is based in Midland, Texas. Dawson Geophysical Company operates as a subsidiary of Wilks Brothers, LLC.
Stock analysis
Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) currently trades at $3.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.54, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.68 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $3.36 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3400, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.71 (bear) to $3.49 (bull), the price of $3.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Dawson Geophysical Company reported revenue of $75.6M in FY2025 versus $24.7M in FY2021, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $133M · P/E ratio 21.0 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) $0.1600 · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.4% · Operating margin 22.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −24%, DWSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.71Fair Value $2.54Bull $3.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1127 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16.3% (2020) → −2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Dawson Geophysical Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 187 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−93% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth128% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dawson Geophysical Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DWSN
Frequently asked questions
Is Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.54 versus a price of $3.36, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DWSN?
Our model-based fair value for Dawson Geophysical Company is $2.54 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.36.
What is the quality score of DWSN?
Dawson Geophysical Company has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.54 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $3.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dawson Geophysical Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.54, about −24% upside versus a price of $3.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $3.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Dawson Geophysical Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $96.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dawson Geophysical Company would have to grow free cash flow by +12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DWSN use?
Our models discount Dawson Geophysical Company at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dawson Geophysical Company that is +12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dawson Geophysical Company grew -2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dawson Geophysical Company (+12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.86 %: that much free cash flow Dawson Geophysical Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dawson Geophysical Company it is $2.54 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $3.36. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dawson Geophysical Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, DWSN trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.36, fair value $2.54, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DWSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.54). For Dawson Geophysical Company the two are $0.8200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dawson Geophysical Company worth?
The market values Dawson Geophysical Company at about $133M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $3.36; our models calculate a fair value of $2.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DWSN?
Our models span a range for Dawson Geophysical Company: cautious scenario $1.71, base $2.54, optimistic $3.49 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $3.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DWSN?
Dawson Geophysical Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 12.2, P/B 8.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 11.2.
What is the PEG ratio of DWSN?
The PEG ratio of Dawson Geophysical Company is 12.17 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dawson Geophysical Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 22.7%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DWSN from its 52-week high?
Dawson Geophysical Company trades at $3.36, about 32% below its 52-week high of $4.95 and 167% above the low of $1.26 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dawson Geophysical Company?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dawson Geophysical Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $3.36, calculated fair value $2.54 (−24%), Quality Score 48/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DWSN calculated?
We run Dawson Geophysical Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Dawson Geophysical Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Dawson Geophysical Company right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.71 to $3.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Dawson Geophysical Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The market capitalisation of Dawson Geophysical Company is $133M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dawson Geophysical Company is 1.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Earnings per share at Dawson Geophysical Company are $0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The net margin of Dawson Geophysical Company is −2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dawson Geophysical Company is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dawson Geophysical Company is −22.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
The operating margin of Dawson Geophysical Company is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Revenue at Dawson Geophysical Company is growing +128% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)?
Earnings per share at Dawson Geophysical Company are growing +722% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) carry?
The net debt of Dawson Geophysical Company is $15.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026