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Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Tenaris S.A. BRL 99.02, price BRL 146, upside -32.3%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · BR · Home Italy

TS Tenaris S.A. logo Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Tenaris S.A.

T1SS34 · SA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value R$99.02 · Overvalued (−32.3%)
✓Quality 68/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.6% dividend yield · Well covered
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Weak on valuation: 4 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$163.00 R$42.19 Fair Value R$99.02 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$42.19 – R$163.00 · fair‑value band R$79.29 – R$133.88 · the R$146.16 price screens above the R$99.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

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Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel casings to sustain the walls of oil and gas wells during and after drilling; steel tubing for conducting crude oil and natural gas to the surface after drilling has been completed; steel line pipes to transport crude oil and natural gas from wells to refineries, storage tanks, and loading and distribution centers; and mechanical and structural pipes for the transportation of other forms of gas and liquids under high pressure. The company also offers cold-drawn pipes for use in boilers, superheaters, condensers, heat exchangers, automobile production, and other industrial applications; premium joints and couplings for use in high temperature or high pressure environments under the TenarisHydril brand name; coiled tubing is used for oil and gas drilling and well workovers and for subsea pipelines; sucker rods used in oil extraction activities, tubes used for plumbing and construction applications, and oilfield / hydraulic fracturing services; pipe coating services; and automotive components. In addition, it engages in the sale of energy and raw materials; development, management, and licensing of intellectual property; procurement and trading services; and financial operations, as well as markets steel products. Further, the company manufactures and markets connections; and welded and seamless steel pipes. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.àr.l.

Stock analysis

Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) currently trades at R$146.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$99.02, 32.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$108.01 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$146.16 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$46.80, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: R$79.29 (bear) to R$133.88 (bull), the price of R$146.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Tenaris S.A. reported revenue of $12.0B in FY2025 versus $11.8B in FY2022, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding −8.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$148B (≈ $28.3B) · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 2.40 · EPS (TTM) R$9.84 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 16.1% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −32%, T1SS34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$79.29 Fair Value R$99.02 Bull R$133.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$6.77 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$104.47 R$144.32 R$218.14 77
Growth DCF R$109.19 R$147.88 R$214.05 75
Owner Earnings R$101.92 R$140.78 R$212.75 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$104.47 R$144.32 R$218.14 77
Owner Earnings R$101.92 R$140.78 R$212.75 73
5Y Revenue Exit R$71.40 R$95.55 R$130.51 70
5Y EBITDA Exit R$77.56 R$106.22 R$144.21 73
5Y P/E Exit R$97.28 R$140.36 R$191.92 68
10Y Revenue Exit R$82.23 R$101.41 R$121.28 65
10Y EBITDA Exit R$87.34 R$108.01 R$129.32 67
10Y P/E Exit R$99.31 R$129.12 R$157.33 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$67.98 R$83.09 R$93.48 65
EPV R$91.81 R$106.62 R$119.58 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$42.76 R$46.80 R$52.96 67
DDM Multi-Stage R$42.76 R$53.65 R$68.91 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$104.97 R$139.96 R$174.95 63
P/S Multiple R$55.77 R$74.37 R$92.96 58
P/B Multiple R$115.91 R$154.54 R$193.18 55
EV/EBIT R$91.53 R$121.06 R$150.58 66
EV/EBITDA R$70.45 R$92.94 R$115.44 67
EV/Revenue R$55.02 R$77.33 R$99.64 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$42.93 R$57.53 R$85.86 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$109.19 R$147.88 R$214.05 75
Rev-Margin DCF R$71.40 R$97.93 R$131.24 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$79.47 R$90.32 R$110.50 73
ROIC Compounder R$91.81 R$109.18 R$128.30 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$75.52 R$107.89 R$140.26 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 19%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.6% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.3%

T1SS34 screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 184 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11.6% · Above median
Return on assets 7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.33× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 14.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.09× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)31 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €210.00 €231.00 +10%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
NOV Inc NOV $18.73 $8.59 −54%

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Tenaris S.A. · Fair Value
R$99.02 −32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tenaris S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/T1SS34

Frequently asked questions

Is Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$99.02 versus a price of R$146.16, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of T1SS34?
Our model-based fair value for Tenaris S.A. is R$99.02 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$146.16.
What is the quality score of T1SS34?
Tenaris S.A. has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$99.02 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$79.29, optimistic scenario R$133.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tenaris S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$99.02, about −32% upside versus a price of R$146.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$79.29, optimistic scenario R$133.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Tenaris S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Tenaris S.A. pay a dividend?
Tenaris S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.61% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tenaris S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +4.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of T1SS34 use?
Our models discount Tenaris S.A. at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tenaris S.A. that is +4.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Tenaris S.A. grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +4.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tenaris S.A. (+4.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.00 %: that much free cash flow Tenaris S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tenaris S.A. it is R$99.02 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$146.16. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tenaris S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, T1SS34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$146.16, fair value R$99.02, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of T1SS34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$146.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$99.02). For Tenaris S.A. the two are R$47.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tenaris S.A. worth?
The market values Tenaris S.A. at about R$148B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$146.16; our models calculate a fair value of R$99.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about T1SS34?
Our models span a range for Tenaris S.A.: cautious scenario R$79.29, base R$99.02, optimistic R$133.88 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$146.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of T1SS34?
Tenaris S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$99.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 6.1, P/B 1.7, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 9.8.
What is the PEG ratio of T1SS34?
The PEG ratio of Tenaris S.A. is 6.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tenaris S.A. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 11.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is T1SS34 from its 52-week high?
Tenaris S.A. trades at R$146.16, about 10% below its 52-week high of R$163.00 and 64% above the low of R$89.13 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$99.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tenaris S.A.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tenaris S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$146.16, calculated fair value R$99.02 (−32%), Quality Score 68/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of T1SS34 calculated?
We run Tenaris S.A. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$99.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tenaris S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was R$146.16. Our model-based fair value is R$99.02, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tenaris S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$133.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Tenaris S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The market capitalisation of Tenaris S.A. is R$148B (≈ $28.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tenaris S.A. is 2.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Earnings per share at Tenaris S.A. are R$9.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The dividend yield of Tenaris S.A. is 0.6% (payout 9.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The net margin of Tenaris S.A. is 16.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tenaris S.A. is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tenaris S.A. is 15.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
The operating margin of Tenaris S.A. is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Revenue at Tenaris S.A. is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34)?
Earnings per share at Tenaris S.A. are growing +13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tenaris S.A. (T1SS34) carry?
The net debt of Tenaris S.A. is $12.8M (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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