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Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA $27.60, price $82.17, upside -66.4%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA
GBLBF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $27.60 · Strongly overvalued (−66.4%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $27.60 to $99.71
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $42.52 – $95.09 · fair‑value band $27.60 – $99.71 · the $82.17 price screens above the $27.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA invests in a portfolio of industrial, consumer goods, and business service companies in Belgium, other European countries, North America, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Holding, Imerys, Canyon, Affidea, Sanoptis, and GBL Capital and Sienna Investment Managers.
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Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA invests in a portfolio of industrial, consumer goods, and business service companies in Belgium, other European countries, North America, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Holding, Imerys, Canyon, Affidea, Sanoptis, and GBL Capital and Sienna Investment Managers. The company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
Stock analysis
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) currently trades at $82.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.60, 66.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $93.54 per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the $82.17 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $72.75, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $27.60 (bear) to $99.71 (bull), the price of $82.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA reported revenue of €6.4B in FY2025 versus €6.5B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€625M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $12.2B · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) $−3.23 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin −9.7% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −66%, GBLBF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $27.60
Fair Value $27.60
Bull $99.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
n/a
$19.85
$78.74
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$2.51
>$10.04
69
Gordon GGM
$53.35
$110.93
$175.97
66
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$53.35
$110.93
$175.97
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$53.35
$93.54
$116.42
66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$54.29
$72.75
$108.58
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$19.85
$78.74
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$2.51
>$10.04
69
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
36/100
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Profitability
10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
41
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
21/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.2% (2020) → 5.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+55.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +52.1% a year for the price.
GBLBF screens overvalued: fair value 66% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Compare Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.60 versus a price of $82.17, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GBLBF?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is $27.60 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $82.17.
What is the quality score of GBLBF?
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $27.60 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.60, optimistic scenario $99.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $27.60, about −66% upside versus a price of $82.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.60, optimistic scenario $99.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA pay a dividend?
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.69% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA would have to grow free cash flow by +55.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GBLBF use?
Our models discount Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA that is +55.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA grew +0.4 % a year. The price currently implies +55.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (+55.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.64 %: that much free cash flow Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA it is $27.60 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $82.17. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GBLBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $82.17, fair value $27.60, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GBLBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($82.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($27.60). For Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA the two are $54.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA worth?
The market values Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA at about $12.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $82.17; our models calculate a fair value of $27.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GBLBF?
Our models span a range for Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA: cautious scenario $27.60, base $27.60, optimistic $99.71 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $82.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GBLBF from its 52-week high?
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA trades at $82.17, about 14% below its 52-week high of $95.09 and 4% above the low of $78.67 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $27.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $82.17, calculated fair value $27.60 (−66%), Quality Score 36/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GBLBF calculated?
We run Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $27.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $82.17. Our model-based fair value is $27.60, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($27.60 to $99.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) come from?
Earnings per share at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA grew +1.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −0.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is $12.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is 1.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA are $−3.23. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The dividend yield of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is 5.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The net margin of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is −9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
The operating margin of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Revenue at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA are growing −31.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLBF) carry?
The net debt of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is €6.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 98.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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