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Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation (HCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · VN · Market cap 30.1T VND

HC Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation HCM · VN
Price26,950 VND
Fair Value18,553 VND
Upside-31.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range 13,915 VND – 23,191 VND

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

30,000 VND 19,100 VND Fair Value 18,553 VND Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range 19,100 VND – 30,000 VND · fair‑value band 13,915 VND – 23,191 VND · the 26,950 VND price screens above the 18,553 VND fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation (HCM) currently trades at 26,950 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18,553 VND — implying the stock looks roughly 31.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation generated revenue of 3.8T VND at a net margin of 32.6%. Revenue grew 35.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at 27.5T VND. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.8T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.1%
Net margin 32.6%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow −11.7T VND FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 60.1%
EPS (TTM) 1,485 VND
EPS growth (YoY) -14.5%
Net debt 27.5T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation provides securities brokerage services to individual, institutional, and corporate clients in Vietnam. It operates through Brokerage and Services, Proprietary Trading, Lending, and Consultancy segments. The company offers securities services, including opening trading accounts, advisory and account management, cash transactions, securities depository, shareholder book management, managed accounts, IPO auction agency, and corporate bond distribution; and financial services consisting of margin loans and lending, cash advances, government bond brokerage and auctions, and short-term funding for buying government bonds. It also provides investment banking comprising corporate finance advisory and consultancy, such as financial restructuring and listing and initial public offering (IPO) advisory; merger and acquisition (M&A) advisory, including buy-side, sell-side, and strategic investment advisory services; and capital raising in domestic and inte…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation reported revenue of 1.3T VND in FY2025 versus 2.1T VND in FY2021, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2T VND in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −11.7%/yr
FY21 2.1T VND
FY22 1.7T VND
FY23 731B VND
FY24 1.1T VND
FY25 1.3T VND
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY21 1.1T VND
FY22 852B VND
FY23 674B VND
FY24 1.0T VND
FY25 1.2T VND

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Similar stocks

6 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0500 -81%
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.98 $138.97 -35%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,001 $283.83 -72%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥28.64 ¥49.76 +74%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 51,200 KRW 36,828 KRW -28%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 107,300 KRW 127,077 KRW +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation (HCM) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18,553 VND versus a price of 26,950 VND — about −31% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HCM?
Our 21-model fair value for Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation is 18,553 VND (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 26,950 VND.
What is the quality score of HCM?
Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation (HCM)?
Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8T VND (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HCM?
The net profit margin of Ho Chi Minh City Securities Corporation is about 32.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.