CITIC Securities Company (600030) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 419B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from ¥36.71 to ¥30.22 (−17.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥15.74 – ¥33.40 · fair‑value band ¥22.67 – ¥37.78 · the ¥27.92 price screens below the ¥30.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
CITIC Securities Company (600030) currently trades at ¥27.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.22, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CITIC Securities Company generated revenue of 82.5B CNY at a net margin of 40.8%. Revenue grew 44.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 564B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥22.67 (bear case) to ¥37.78 (bull case); at ¥27.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 8%, 600030 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥206.03) versus Dividend Discount (¥13.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CITIC Securities Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Brokerage, Asset Management, Securities Investment, Securities Underwriting, and Other.
Full company description
CITIC Securities Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Brokerage, Asset Management, Securities Investment, Securities Underwriting, and Other. The company offers investment banking, including equity, bonds, asset-backed securitization, and merger and acquisition; asset management for active, passive, and cross-border investments, as well as alternative businesses; and equity sales and trading services, such as research, equity project sales, equity product marketing, equity trading, transaction execution, and algo trading services. It also provides margin trading, short selling, securities borrowing and lending, and stock repo and financing; wealth management comprising trade service, investment management, and asset allocation and succession; and FICC business, which includes sales, trading, investment advisory, and structured products and derivatives. In addition, the company offers research services; and custody, fund administration, and interbank market client clearing services. It serves corporate, institutional, and retail clients. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CITIC Securities Company reported revenue of ¥74.8B in FY2025 versus ¥90.8B in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 424 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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