Meritz Financial Group (138040) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · KR · Market cap 19.3T KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 87,625 KRW to 87,706 KRW (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (109,632 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12,346 KRW – 146,200 KRW · fair‑value band 65,779 KRW – 109,632 KRW · the 125,700 KRW price screens above the 87,706 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Meritz Financial Group (138040) currently trades at 125,700 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 87,706 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Meritz Financial Group generated revenue of 17.7T KRW at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. Net debt stands at 20.6T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 65,779 KRW (bear case) to 109,632 KRW (bull case); at 125,700 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -30%, 138040 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (253,705 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (35,088 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Meritz Financial Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through Insurance, Securities, Capital, and Others segments.
Full company description
Meritz Financial Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through Insurance, Securities, Capital, and Others segments. It offers various insurance contracts, including general non-life insurance comprising fire, marine, personal accident, engineering, liability, comprehensive, authority, guarantee, and other special types of insurance; and auto insurance products, which include personal, business, commercial, motorcycle, and others; and long-term non-life insurance products, such as long-term damage, property, personal accident, driver, savings, disease, nursing care, pension savings damage, etc. The company engages in undertaking risk through reinsurance cessions and joint underwriting. It also provides products, such as natural disaster insurance. In addition, the company engages in merchant banking and security; private equity fund; management trust; financial services; real estate leasing; and SPC for asset securitization businesses. Meritz Financial Group Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Meritz Financial Group reported revenue of 4.3T KRW in FY2025 versus 4.2T KRW in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.3T KRW in FY2025, compounding +30.7%/yr from FY2021.
138040 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 424 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,200 KRW | 46,660 KRW | +78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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