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IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of IMAX China Holding $2.45, price $1.00, upside +145.0%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
IMAX China Holding
IMXCF · USStrongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.
✓Fair value $2.45 · Strongly undervalued (+145.0%)
✓Quality 84/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 36.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 74/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7330 – $4.45 · fair‑value band $1.84 – $3.07 · the $1.00 price screens below the $2.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
IMAX China Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital film technologies in the United States, Canada, Greater China, Asia, Western Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Content Solutions and Technology Products and Services.
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IMAX China Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital film technologies in the United States, Canada, Greater China, Asia, Western Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Content Solutions and Technology Products and Services. The company engages in the digital remastering and distribution of Hollywood, Chinese language, and other films in IMAX theatre network under the IMAX brand name. It also designs, procures, sells, and leases digital theatre systems, as well as provides related project management, maintenance services, warranty, and aftermarket sale of IMAX system parts and 3D glasses. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. IMAX China Holding, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of IMAX (Barbados) Holding, Inc.
Stock analysis
IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.45, implying the stock looks roughly 59.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.62 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6300, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.84 (bear) to $3.07 (bull), the price of $1.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
IMAX China Holding reported revenue of $102M in FY2025 versus $112M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $37.7M in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $341M · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 3.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Net margin 36.8% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% · Operating margin 36.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 145%, IMXCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.84
Fair Value $2.45
Bull $3.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0832 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.98
$2.67
$3.58
81
Growth DCF
$1.99
$2.59
$3.34
80
Owner Earnings
$1.78
$2.38
$3.18
77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.98
$2.67
$3.58
81
Owner Earnings
$1.78
$2.38
$3.18
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.38
$1.76
$2.22
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.93
$2.78
$3.76
76
5Y P/E Exit
$2.00
$2.90
$3.84
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.60
$1.98
$2.45
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.93
$2.62
$3.52
69
10Y P/E Exit
$1.97
$2.70
$3.57
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.7600
$2.29
$3.04
65
Lynch FV
$0.4900
$0.7000
$0.9100
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.4900
$0.7000
$0.9100
57
EPV
$1.34
$1.46
$1.57
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.84
$2.45
$3.07
63
P/S Multiple
$0.8000
$1.06
$1.33
58
P/B Multiple
$1.42
$1.90
$2.37
55
EV/EBIT
$2.21
$2.82
$3.44
66
EV/EBITDA
$2.10
$2.67
$3.25
67
EV/Revenue
$1.02
$1.29
$1.56
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.4700
$0.6300
$0.9300
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.99
$2.59
$3.34
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.38
$1.77
$2.18
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.8200
$0.9100
$1.15
71
ROIC Compounder
$1.39
$1.59
$1.82
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.50
$2.14
$2.78
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
84/100
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Profitability
51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−19% → 50%
2025 sits 70% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.0%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.7% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $69.58 | $76.54 | +10% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $104.90 | $101.23 | −3% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $30.86 | $13.47 | −56% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $170.87 | $48.93 | −71% |
| TKO Group TKO | $182.67 | $69.66 | −62% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.59 | €16.05 | +10% |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $56.54 | $65.92 | +17% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $94.61 | $104.07 | +10% |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $152.67 | $42.86 | −72% |
| News Corporation NWS | $31.75 | $17.05 | −46% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.45 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.00, about +145% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IMXCF?
Our model-based fair value for IMAX China Holding is $2.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.00.
What is the quality score of IMXCF?
IMAX China Holding has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $3.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the IMAX China Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.45, about +145% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.84, optimistic scenario $3.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
IMAX China Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $102M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, IMAX China Holding would have to grow free cash flow by -18.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IMXCF use?
Our models discount IMAX China Holding at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For IMAX China Holding that is -18.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at IMAX China Holding grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies -18.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into IMAX China Holding (-18.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.94 %: that much free cash flow IMAX China Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For IMAX China Holding it is $2.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is IMAX China Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IMXCF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.00, fair value $2.45, a gap of about +145% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IMXCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.45). For IMAX China Holding the two are $1.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is IMAX China Holding worth?
The market values IMAX China Holding at about $341M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.00; our models calculate a fair value of $2.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IMXCF?
Our models span a range for IMAX China Holding: cautious scenario $1.84, base $2.45, optimistic $3.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is IMXCF from its 52-week high?
IMAX China Holding trades at $1.00, about 6% below its 52-week high of $1.06 and 9% above the low of $0.9172 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to IMAX China Holding?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is IMAX China Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.00, calculated fair value $2.45 (+145%), Quality Score 84/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IMXCF calculated?
We run IMAX China Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. IMAX China Holding currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.00. Our model-based fair value is $2.45, about +145% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with IMAX China Holding right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (84/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of IMAX China Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The market capitalisation of IMAX China Holding is $341M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of IMAX China Holding is 9.1. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of IMAX China Holding is 3.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
Earnings per share at IMAX China Holding are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The net margin of IMAX China Holding is 36.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of IMAX China Holding is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of IMAX China Holding is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
The operating margin of IMAX China Holding is 36.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
Revenue at IMAX China Holding is growing +20.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at IMAX China Holding (IMXCF)?
Earnings per share at IMAX China Holding are growing +99.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does IMAX China Holding (IMXCF) hold?
IMAX China Holding holds more cash than debt, $129M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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